Autumn forecast to be wet and mild By Brian Gaze [Published 06:15 02/09/2026] The autumn forecast was issued yesterday, and the headline is for a wetter and milder than average autumn across the UK as a whole. There is also an increased chance of stormy conditions, especially in October and November. The strong El Niño and recent climatology are important factors in the forecast. 14 day weather forecast video Issued 1st September 2026 Heavy rain in central areas Heavy outbreaks of rain move eastwards across central parts of the UK, with more showery conditions following from the west this afternoon. There will be showers to the north and south, but the northern half of Scotland and the south eastern corner are likely to remain dry. Temperatures range from 13°C in the north west to 22°C in the south east. Check the weather radar for the most up to date view. Autumn and Christmas The arrival of September means our Autumn forecast is now available and, of course, our legendary countdown to Christmas begins. This year we've also got a brand new game called Santa's Summit, which you can play for free. In fact, you may want to start practising now, because in December we'll be releasing one level per day, and the person with the highest aggregate score at the end of the month will win Premium access to our website for 2026. Ad-free browsing and premium features Subscribe to The Weather Outlook Premium to enjoy ad-free browsing and extra features. Subscribe on a recurring monthly basis or for a fixed 12 month period. Find out more: The Weather Outlook Premium UKV, Wednesday 2nd September [Tap animation to toggle cities] Tonight:Showery spells of rain push eastwards across the northern half of the UK. Southern and central areas start mainly dry, but patchy outbreaks of rain steadily spread eastwards. The Signal Stay up to date with the latest weather forecasts and computer model trends by exploring our new feature, The Signal. It includes short videos, animations, and charts. View The Signal Tomorrow:Heavy spells of rain spread across northern Wales, central and northern England, and Northern Ireland. Areas further north have sunny spells and showers. To the south it will be dry, bright and warm. UKV, Thursday 3rd September [Tap animation to toggle cities] Friday: An area of heavy rain fragments as it pushes southwards and eastwards over the southern half of the UK. The north has a mix of sunny spells and showers.Quite warm in the south. Windy. Outlook: Changeable weather continues as disturbances move in from the Atlantic. They bring the likelihood of further showers or longer spells of rain, particularly in the north and west. In central and eastern England it may become very warm or hot on Sunday and possibly Monday. GFS overview for Friday 4th September - Sunday 6th September