The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

November weather: Settled periods

Forecast issued 02/11/2020

Temperature

Slightly above average in the west, close to average  in the east.

Precipitation

Close to average in the west, below average in the east.

1/11 to 7/11

Becoming settled.

Mild and unsettled early on with wet and windy periods in all regions. After the first few days it turns drier and calmer. Temperatures also fall and the risk of nighttime frost and fog increases. By the end of the week it could turn more unsettled and milder in the south with a growing chance of rain. The north remains dry and chilly.

8/11 to 14/11

Changeable. [Forecast confidence is moderate falling to low]

Some wet spells are possible during the course of the week in all regions. However, rain is most likely in the west with eastern Britain often remaining dry. Temperatures in the east probably won't be too far from the seasonal average but the west might be mild for much of the time. Nighttime frost and fog are most likely in the south and east.

15/11 to 30/11

Possibly colder later on. [Forecast confidence is very low]

Mixed conditions are expected early on with periods of rain mostly in the north and west. The south and east should continue to have a good deal of dry weather, although even there some rain is possible. During the closing days of the month it could turn colder, particularly in the north. That leads to an increasing risk of frost and the chance of accumulating snow, even to low levels in places.

Accompanying video

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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