The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

March weather: Coldest in the north

Forecast Issued 03/03/2018


Below average.


Slightly below average.


1/3 to 7/3

Freeze easing off.

After an exceptionally cold start milder air gradually pushes northwards. Northern areas are likely to remain cold throughout the week but in the south temperatures return towards the early March average. Snow remains a risk in the north but precipitation in southern counties increasingly turns back to rain.

8/3 to 14/3

Changeable and possibly cold.

A rather changeable period of weather is expected. In the north temperatures probably remain below average and there is a possibility of colder air pushing southwards again. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely in all regions. The risk of snow remains in the north and it could extend southwards at times.

15/3 to 31/3

Changeable but quite cold. [Forecast confidence is low]

The north is expected to have quite cold weather during much of this period but milder spells are more likely in the south.  Nighttime frosts continue with above average frequency in all regions. In the north further spells of rain and snow are expected. In southern counties rain is more likely but snow remains a possibility.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.


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