The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

November weather: Wet and chilly

Forecast Issued 01/11/2019

Temperature

Slightly below average.

Precipitation

Slightly above average.

1/11 to 7/11

Unsettled, colder later.

All of the UK has unsettled weather. In the south periods of heavy rain and strong winds are likely but in the north it will often be more showery. The northern half of the UK will often be chilly and sleet or snow is possible over high ground at times. Later in the period the colder conditions probably push southwards.

8/11 to 14/11

Quite cold and changeable. [Forecast confidence is moderate]

Showery and cold conditions are forecast early in the week. Over high ground in the north some of the showers fall as sleet or snow and even over low ground there could be a wintry mix. Later on it may turn drier but the risk of nighttime frosts becomes more widespread. Temperatures remain below the seasonal average.

15/11 to 30/11

Becoming mainly unsettled. [Forecast confidence is low]

After a cold and dry start unsettled weather gradually returns from the west. All regions have wet and windy periods with temperatures climbing back towards the seasonal average. At times it could be colder in the north and over high ground in Scotland snow continues to be a risk.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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