The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

July weather: Often quite settled  

Forecast Issued 01/07/2019


Slightly above average.


Slightly below average.


1/7 to 7/7

Quite settled.

Southern and central regions have mostly dry weather. Cloud amounts vary but there should be quite a lot of sunshine. In the north there is a greater risk of showery rain, although a good deal of dry periods are expected. Southern areas become warm for a time but in the north temperatures remain lower. Towards the end of the week the risk of showers probably increases in the south and temperatures dip back down to the average.

8/7 to 14/7

Changeable. [Forecast confidence is moderate]

Early in the period predominantly dry weather is expected but scattered showers are possible. Later on the showers tend to  become more widespread and heavy. Temperatures remain close to the average with the highest values in the south. During sunny spells it feels warm.

15/7 to 31/7

Close to the norm. [Forecast confidence is low]

Temperatures are forecast to be slightly above average during this period taken as a whole. Rainfall levels are also expected to be in line with the average. However that does not mean all days will be the same. It suggests a mix of conditions is possible with very typical British summer weather favoured.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.


Other forecasts

Use the place of postcode selector at the top of this page for the local weather forecast. The links below are to discussion and long range outlooks.

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