The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.
Forecast issued 01/03/2024
Close to average
Chilly and changeable
All parts of the UK have showers or longer spells of rain through the first few days. At times, sleet or snow could fall to low levels in the north and over high ground in the south. Later on it begins to turn drier, particularly in the east. Daytime temperatures edge upwards, but the risk of frost remains.
Becoming more changeable
A good deal of dry weather is likely early on, with chilly nights but relatively mild days. However, a transition to a more changeable pattern is expected and it leads to an increasing risk of showers or longer spells of rain in all regions.
Changeable weather dominates [Forecast confidence is low]
Temperatures are expected to be close to the average over the period as a whole. Nonetheless, changeable or rather unsettled weather dominates, with wet spells in all regions. At times in the north snow is likely over high ground. The risk of frost is forecast to be close to the norm.
Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.
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