The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

February weather: Changeable  

Forecast Issued 01/02/2019

Temperature

Slightly above average.

Precipitation

Slightly below average in the south, slightly above average in the north.

 

1/2 to 7/2

Cold start but turning milder.

All regions have a cold start and in places there will be significant falls of snow. During the middle of the period outbreaks of rain push eastwards and in the north they are likely to be preceded by snow. Milder conditions follow on and for the rest of the week the weather remains changeable with wet and windy spells. Snow becomes restricted to high ground in the north.

8/2 to 14/2

Changeable. [Forecast confidence is moderate]

Northern areas have showers or longer spells of rain and at times there could be a risk of snow, particularly over high ground. Southern and central areas also have rain at times but there is a greater chance of dry periods. Temperatures in the north probably stay close to the average but in the south it becomes mild at times. 

Note: There is a low risk of a cold easterly flow developing during this period.



15/2 to 28/2

Mixed. [Forecast confidence is low]

Unsettled conditions early in the period bring showers or longer spells of rain to all areas. In the north it could be cold enough for snow on occasion but the southern half of the UK is likely to be quite mild. Later on the risk of colder and frosty spells increases in southern and central regions. The north may continue to have more changeable weather with temperatures close to the seasonal average.

Note: There is a low risk of a cold easterly flow developing at times during this period.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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