November: More unsettled later Forecast issued 01/11/2026 Temperature Slightly above average Precipitation Slightly below average 1/11 to 7/11 Mostly dry weather continues through the week, although showers are possible at times, particularly in southern and central areas. Rather chilly through the days, but cloud cover probably prevents frost and fog from becoming widespread. 8/11 to 14/11 Changeable weather is forecast to steadily return. Therefore, the chance of showers or longer spells of rain and strong winds increases, especially in the west. Temperatures rise and it becomes quite mild. 15/11 to 30/11 Rather unsettled over the period as a whole [Forecast confidence is very low] Conditions vary, but a trend towards unsettled weather gathers momentum. All areas can expect wet and windy spells, with temperatures fluctuating. Snow is possible in the north at times, mostly over high ground. Over the period as a whole the frost and fog risk is likely to be below average. Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts. How accurate are forecasts for the month ahead? Monthly forecasts offer some skill but vary in reliability depending on several factors: Focus on Trends, Not Specifics Monthly forecasts typically provide information about expected temperature and precipitation trends relative to long-term averages. For example, they might indicate whether a month is likely to be warmer or wetter than usual. Decreasing Accuracy Over Time Monthly weather forecasts have much lower accuracy compared to short-range forecasts, with skill levels generally decreasing sharply after 7 days. They're most useful for identifying broad temperature and precipitation trends relative to seasonal averages rather than specific day-to-day conditions.