The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

April weather: Milder and wetter than average

Forecast issued 01/04/2024


Above average


Close to or above average

1/4 to 7/4

Mostly unsettled

All parts of the UK have showers or longer spells of rain. Through the first few days it will be chilly in northern Britain, but in the south temperatures will be close to the norm. However, the second half of the week is likely to see milder conditions pushing northwards and it could turn quite warm in the south for a time. 

8/4 to 14/4

Driest and warmest in the south east

The forecast is for changeable weather to continue through the week. Therefore, all regions could have wet and windy spells, but they are expected to be the most frequent in the north and west. In the south and particularly the south east some drier and warmer days are possible. Temperatures generally above the average, although in the far north it could still be chilly at times.

15/4 to 30/4

Changeable weather dominates [Forecast confidence is low]

Temperatures are expected to be close to the average over the period as a whole. Nonetheless, changeable weather dominates with showers or longer spells of rain remaining possible in all regions. Southern and southeastern regions are likely to experience the driest, brightest, and warmest conditions.


Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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