The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

February weather: Milder than average

Forecast Issued 01/02/2020

Temperature

Above average.

Precipitation

Slightly above average.

1/2 to 7/2

Mixed. Colder for a time.

All regions have wet and windy weather at times during the first few days. It starts off very mild in the south but it turns colder in the north and the risk of snow increases over high ground. Colder conditions push southwards for a time and nighttime frosts return. Showers could fall as sleet or snow down to low levels in the north. Later on it turns drier for a time but milder and changeable weather returns towards the end of the period from the northwest.

8/2 to 14/2

Rather mild and unsettled. [Forecast confidence is moderate]

Mostly unsettled weather is expected. At times it could become stormy. The wettest and windiest periods are forecast to be in the north and west. Generally mild in the south. In the north temperatures are likely to be closer to the average and over high ground sleet or snow is possible at times.

15/2 to 29/02

Changeable and quite mild. [Forecast confidence is low]

Changeable weather continues for much of the period. In general it is expected to be quite mild, although in the north it could be cold enough for snow at times over high ground. The driest conditions will probably be in eastern Britain and that is where the chance of nighttime frosts is the highest.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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