The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

January weather: Milder than average

Forecast Issued 31/12/2019

Temperature

Above average.

Precipitation

Close to average.

1/1 to 7/1

Unsettled interlude but often dry.

After a dry start a period of wet and windy weather pushes southeastwards across all regions. Clearer and colder conditions follow from the northwest. Later on milder air returns eastwards across the UK. In the north west outbreaks of rain are likely but in other areas it becomes mainly dry with variable amounts of cloud.

8/1 to 14/1

Rather mild and often settled. [Forecast confidence is moderate]

A good deal of settled weather is forecast to continue in much of the country. The exception will probably be the north west which has more frequent spells of rain. At times bands of rain could spread southeastwards but they probably decay and become fragmented by the time they reach southern counties. Mild or very mild at times in the north. In the south temperatures are expected to be close to or slightly above the average.

15/1 to 31/1

Changeable and quite mild. [Forecast confidence is low]

Changeable weather is forecast for much of the period, although it may be mostly dry early on. In the north it could be cold enough for snow at times, particularly over high ground. Colder weather may spread southwards at times but in general it is expected to be quite mild. Towards the end of the period it may become more unsettled.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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