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The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.
Forecast Issued 01/05/2018
Slightly below average but large local variations.
Showery and thundery outbreaks of rain are likely during the first few days. Thereafter the risk of showers increasingly becomes confined to southern counties with the north having a good deal of fine and dry weather.
Warm start but more changeable. [Forecast confidence is low]
All areas should have a warm start but thundery showers are possible. During the course of the week a transition to more changeable and possibly cooler weather is expected.
Mixed. [Forecast confidence is low]
Rather mixed weather is expected through the second half of the month. Drier and warmer spells are likely at times, particularly in the south. However, unsettled and cooler periods are also forecast with all regions having rain at times.
Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.
Use the place of postcode selector at the top of this page for the local weather forecast. The links below are to discussion and long range outlooks.
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