The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

January weather: Quite wet, but colder and drier mid month 

Forecast issued 01/01/2022


Close to average.


Above average.

1/1 to 7/1


Mixed and very mild conditions early on with showers or longer spells of rain. However, temperatures soon start to dip and through the middle of the week a band of rain and hill snow moves southwards across the UK. It is followed by colder and brighter conditions from the north. Wintry showers develop with most of them in the north and west. Frosts become sharp and widespread for a time. Towards the end of the period a band of rain pushes in from the west. In the north it is likely to be preceded by a period of sleet and snow. Often windy or very windy.

8/1 to 14/1


Mixed and rather chilly weather is expected early in the week. All regions have showers or longer spells of rain and in the north snow could fall to low levels at times. Often windy. Later on the chance of drier and quieter days begins to increase, especially in the south and east. That leads to an increasing risk of frost. Daytime temperatures probably remain quite close to the seasonal average.   

15/1 to 31/1

Chilly start then turning more unsettled. [Forecast confidence is low]

A rather cold and settled period is forecast to become established for a time. It should be mainly dry, but wintry showers are possible in the south and east. Frosts could be quite widespread and sharp on some nights. Later on more unsettled and milder weather returns. That brings the risk of rain and strong winds to all regions, but the wettest conditions are likely to be in the west. 

Accompanying video



Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.



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