Dreaming of a White Christmas?

Welcome to our Christmas 2017 weather forecast page. Forecasting even a few days ahead is challenging in the UK so how is it possible to confidently predict the weather for a single day months ahead? The answer is it isn't! Usually it's not until the second week of December that things firm up but that doesn't stop us taking a fun look ahead to Christmas Day.
 
 

Time until December 25th

21.91% there
Sep 1st
Dec 25th

Christmas weather forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says is based on computer models and the weather patterns during the autumn.

The Computer says uses raw computer model data and is updated daily.

TheWeatherOutlook says

Time is flying by and we've now reached the astronomical autumn. At this stage most of the seasonal models are  forecasting above average temperatures this December, however recent updates of the CFSv2 are hinting at high latitude blocking which would increase the chance of cold spells. On balance the likelihood of snow at Christmas remains low but remember:

1) There is a long time for things to change

2) Even during milder than average winter months cold snaps can bring snow

Therefore the fourth update suggests a fractionally increased chance of snow on Christmas Day 2017. We continue to think the most likely outcome is for a mobile pattern continuing for much of December and possibly lasting through the Christmas period. That suggests predominantly unsettled weather. Incursions of colder air more likely in the north of the UK.  

Chance of snow on Christmas Day

North of Yorkshire / Lancashire:15%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 9%

Update 4, 23/09/2017

Updates are usually weekly.

The Computer says

  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Scotland.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands.
Forecast issued 26/09/2017 04:47:20

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