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TheWeatherOutlook says is based on computer models and the weather patterns during the autumn.
The Computer says uses raw computer model data. Daily updates have now started.
Welcome to the Christmas Day 2019 countdown. Regular updates have now begun again and continue until the big day itself.
Update 8: No change to the percentage chance.
The eighth update makes no change to the percentage chance of snow in the north and south.
The latest considerations are:
Seasonal forecast model updates suggesting a mild and Atlantic dominated winter is favoured.
October weather patterns. Unsettled conditions have continued.
Recent output from seasonal computer models has generally been pointing towards a milder than average winter. Although seasonal models display a low skill level for the UK they are taken into account.
Updates 1: 01/09/2019, 2: 08/09, 3: 15/09, 4: 22/09, 5: 29/09, 6: 06/10, 7: 13/10, 8: 20/10
Use the place of postcode selector at the top of this page for the local weather forecast. The links below are to discussion and long range outlooks.
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UK winter 2019/20
Christmas weather 2019
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