Dreaming of a White Christmas?

Welcome to our Christmas 2022 weather forecast. Forecasting even a few days ahead is tough in the UK so how is it possible to confidently predict the weather for a single day months ahead? It isn't! Usually things don't firm up until mid December but it doesn't stop us taking a fun look ahead to Christmas Day.



How many sleeps until the big day?

December 25th countdown

Dec 26th
Dec 25th

Sleeps until Christmas!


Christmas weather forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says is our view. Regular updates have not started.

The Computer says uses raw computer model data. Daily updates are not yet running.

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to further development please consider making a donation.

TheWeatherOutlook says

Welcome to the Christmas Day 2022 countdown.

Updates not started

Thank you for checking the white Christmas forecast. Updates have not yet started.

The latest update factors in:

No forecast yet 

Chance of snow on Christmas Day

North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: ??%.

South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: ??%. 

Updates: 1: 01/09.


The Computer says

  • Too mild for snow in the south
  • Too mild for snow in Wales
  • Too mild for snow in the Midlands
  • Too mild for snow in the north
  • Too mild for snow in Scotland
  • Too mild for snow in Northern Ireland
  • Too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
  • Too mild for snow in the Netherlands

Forecast updated daily.

Published 05/07/2022 15:20:50

Video forecast

Update 4 - filmed 22nd December 2021.

Christmas period charts and data

Computer model charts and data to help you make your own forecast!

Forecast 850hPa temp anomaly

Charts do not yet reach Christmas week. 

Blue shading indicates colder than the 30 year average.

Red shading indicates warmer than the 30 year average.

The ghost of Christmas past

If the past is the best guide to the future you may find it useful and interesting to check out these charts from Christmases past. Links open in a new window.

1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

1981 - 2010 temperature average

Average December 25th temperatures for the 1981 - 2010 period are shown on the chart below.

1981 to 2010 average temperatures for Christmas Day




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