UK Seasonal Outlook

First half

The early part of the month brings changeable weather with all regions seeing wet and windy spells, but also more settled interludes which lead to a risk of frost and fog. Temperatures fluctuate and at times it will be quite cold. There is a risk of some snow, mostly in the northern half of the UK and particularly over high ground. Later the mixed theme continues with the wettest conditions generally in the north west. Southern and central regions may become drier.

Second half

Early on a good deal of dry weather is forecast in southern and central regions. It could be quite chilly, particularly in the south, and frosts are possible on some nights. In the north and west it stays more unsettled. Progressively the milder, wetter, and windier conditions extend southeastwards leading to significant periods of rain in all regions. Despite it often being rather mild, particularly in the south, there is still the likelihood of brief colder incursions leading to a risk of sleet or snow over high ground in Scotland.

January

Temperature:

Close to or slightly below average.

Precipitation:

Above average.

First half

Unsettled weather with close to average daytime temperatures and a reduced risk of frost is predicted for much of the period. Wet and very windy spells are likely in all parts of the UK, especially early on, with snow mostly restricted to high ground in the north. Towards the end of the period things quieten down and the risk of overnight frost and fog increases. In the north west there is a greater chance of it remaining milder and unsettled.

Second half

A colder and more settled period could become established for a while. It leads to a good deal of dry weather, although in the east and south east there may be a chance of wintry showers. Frosts could  develop quite widely on some nights. Later on a transition back to more unsettled and milder conditions takes place. 

February

Temperature:

Below average.

Precipitation

Slightly below average.

First half

After a mixed and rather mild start, cold or even very cold weather is expected to develop and last for much of the period, especially in southern and eastern parts. It leads to an increased risk of snow and overnight frosts which may become severe. Possibly less cold and wetter at times in the west.

Second half

After a cold start a transition to mild and unsettled conditions take place. The wettest spells become focused on the north and west with drier conditions more likely in the south and south east. Possibly becoming very mild later on.