UK Seasonal Outlook

The seasonal forecast is updated every three months. Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.

Spring 2020: Above average temperatures.

Forecast Issued 29/02/2020

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

Forecast overview

The forecast headline is for a milder than average spring but some cold spells are likely early on. There is no strong forecast signal but on balance rainfall is expected to be close to the average.

Temperature

Above the 30 year average taken over the three month period as a whole.

Precipitation

Rainfall levels are forecast to be close to average.

March

Temperature:

Close to average.

Precipitation:

Close to average.

First half

Changeable and chilly weather is likely early in the month. Showers could be wintry at times, especially in the north where sleet or snow may fall to low levels. Later in the period there are signs of it turning drier and milder, especially in the southern half of the UK.

Second half

A transition to mixed weather is expected to take place early on. All regions have showers or longer spells of rain but also dry periods. Temperatures should be close to the average over the period as a whole with a mix of colder and milder periods.

 



 

April

Temperature:

Slightly above average.

Precipitation:

Slightly above average.

First half

Rather unsettled and some chilly periods. Showers or more persistent spells of rain probably affect all regions. It may be cold enough at times for showers to turn wintry, especially in northern areas where sleet or snow remains possible. Nighttime frosts continue to be possible.

Second half

Unsettled conditions and close to average temperatures are expected early on. Therefore a mix of sunshine and showers, as well as days with more persistent rain is likely. Showers could be heavy and thundery with hail at times. Later on the chances of warmer and drier spells increase, particularly in the south.

May

Temperature:

Above average.

Precipitation

Slightly below.

First half

Warmer than average conditions are expected for much of the period, with a good deal of dry and increasingly sunny weather. Northern areas may well be less settled and cooler at times with showers or longer spells of rain.

Second half

Temperatures continue above average for much of the period. The trend is expected to be towards less settled conditions with showers or longer outbreaks of rain returning at times.

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.

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