UK Seasonal Outlook

The seasonal forecast is updated every three months. Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.

Spring 2019: Warmer than average.

Forecast Issued 01/03/2019

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

Forecast overview

The forecast headline is for a warmer than average spring in all regions. Rainfall levels are expected to be close to the average over the three month period.


Above the 30 year average taken over the three month period as a whole.


Rainfall levels are forecast to be close to average.



Close to average.


Slightly above average.

First half

The early part of the month will be dominated by unsettled weather with all regions having wet and windy periods. In the north it could be quite cold at times and there is a risk of snow over high ground and perhaps down to low levels at times too. Nighttime frosts develop during quieter and drier interludes. On the whole temperatures in the south should be closer to the seasonal average.

Second half

Early on spells of wet and windy weather are probably interspersed with brighter and showery ones. Temperatures are expected to be close to average. Later in the period the incidence of drier and more settled spells could increase. Nighttime frosts remain a risk.





Slightly above average.


Close to average.

First half

The first half of the month is expected to bring mixed weather with heavy showers or more persistent outbreaks of rain at times. Temperatures vary significantly with colder and milder than average spells. It may be cold enough at times for showers to turn wintry in the north with sleet or snow over higher ground. Occasional overnight frost is also likely.

Second half

The second half of the month will probably see changeable conditions but temperatures over the period as a whole are expected to be above the seasonal average. As the forecast period progresses there may be an increasing chance of drier and warmer spells of weather developing, particularly in southern and central regions.



Above average.


Slightly below average.

First half

The first half of the month is expected to bring warmer than average conditions, with a good deal of dry and increasingly sunny weather in southern and central areas. The north may be less settled and cooler with showers and more frequent spells of rain.

Second half

The second half of the month should see temperatures often climbing above the average. It may become quite changeable in southern and central regions with the risk of heavy and possibly thundery showers. In contrast the north may turn drier and more settled.

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.


Other forecasts

Use the place of postcode selector at the top of this page for the local weather forecast. The links below are to discussion and long range outlooks.

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