UK Seasonal Outlook

First half

The first week brings mostly dry and settled weather. Daytime temperatures will be the highest in the west and in sunny periods it becomes warm. At times more cloud and cooler conditions are likely in the east. Nights will be chilly in the areas where clear periods form. Moving into the second week, a gradual transition to more varied weather patterns is anticipated. There is an increased likelihood of thundery showers or longer periods of rainfall, particularly in the southern and western regions. Conversely, the eastern areas may remain relatively stable.

Second half

The latter half of the month is characterized by greater variability compared to the initial period. Nonetheless, significant dry spells are expected, and at times it becomes warm or even very warm. Thundery downpours or longer spells of rain are expected to be the most frequent in the south and west. The driest conditions will probably be in the north.

July

Temperature:

Above average.

Precipitation:

Above average.

First half

The period will feature variable weather conditions. Temperatures are anticipated to exceed average levels, with the potential for very warm or hot spells. Despite this, there remains a possibility for showers and thunderstorms, particularly in southern and central regions.

Second half

Unsettled weather is expected to persist throughout the period, with an ongoing risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms. During intervening dry spells, temperatures may rise significantly, potentially reaching very warm or hot levels. The southern half of the UK is likely to experience the wettest conditions.

August

Temperature:

Above average.

Precipitation

Close to or slightly below the average.

First half

A shift towards more settled weather is forecast, though wetter interludes remain a distinct possibility. These may bring heavy showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures are expected to often exceed average levels, with the potential for hot spells.

Second half

Predominantly fine weather is expected, particularly in southern and central regions. However, in the north the risk of rain is higher. Very warm or hot spells remain a possibility, with temperatures above the average over the period as a whole.