UK Seasonal Outlook

First half

After a changeable start with showers or longer spells of rain in all areas, it turns drier in the north. The settled conditions are likely to spread southwards at times, although the risk of rain remains higher there. Towards the middle of the month a transition to more mixed weather takes place in all areas. Temperatures will probably be close to the average overall. However, significant variations are likely, with a possibility of some very warm days in central and eastern counties, but also cooler than average ones at other times and elsewhere in the UK.

Second half

The  second half of the month is forecast to be quite unsettled with more typical weather patterns becoming established. That suggests all regions can expect showers or longer spells of rain. Wet spells are expected to be the most frequent in the west and north west. It could become windy on occasion too. Overall, temperatures are expected to be close to the average.

October

Temperature:

Above average

Precipitation:

Slightly above average

First half

To begin with, dry periods are likely in the south, but in the north more unsettled conditions are forecast to continue. They gradually extend southeastwards, leading to an increasing chance of wet and windy spells in all of the UK. Temperatures above the average.

Second half

Generally unsettled with periods of wet weather in all parts of the country. Windy at times, especially in the north. Drier spells continue to be more likely in southern and eastern regions. Temperatures slightly above the average.

November

Temperature:

Slightly below average

Precipitation

Close to average

First half

Predominantly unsettled conditions lead to showers or longer outbreaks of rain and the likelihood of very windy spells. The best of the drier intervals are expected in southern and central areas. Colder incursions are possible at times, especially in the north, but temperatures should be close to or slightly above average.

Second half

Changeable weather is likely in all areas, so wet and windy spells can be expected at times. Despite that, there is considered to be an increased chance of cold snaps. Therefore, the risk of frost and snow is higher, particularly in the northern half of the UK. Temperatures below the average.