Issued Saturday, 3rd June 2023
Issued 21st May 2023
The 14 day video forecast is usually updated weekly.
The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week.
Sunday: Dry across the UK. Sunny spells develop widely, but it could stay cloudier in parts of the north east. Warm in the afternoon sun, with temperatures peaking in the low to mid 20Cs.
Monday, Tuesday: Dry across the vast bulk of the UK, although scattered showers are possible in the north. Sunny periods develop widely, although in north eastern Britain cloud may be persistent. Temperatures peak in the low to mid 20Cs, with the highest values in the south and west.
Wednesday, Thursday, Friday: The northern half of Britain remains dry and bright. However, in other areas the risk of thundery showers begins to increase. They are most likely to affect southern counties, but there is a possibility of them extending into central counties and Northern Ireland too. Despite that, there is expected to be a lot of fine weather, and it may become very warm or even hot.
Forecast confidence is high falling to medium.
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The period is expected to bring fine and warm or very warm periods. Nonetheless, there is a chance of it becoming more changeable, and heavy thundery showers are possible at times. They are most likely in southern and western counties. Humidity levels also rise.
Forecast confidence is low.
High pressure continues to be dominant. However, towards the end of the week low pressure begins to push up from the south or southwest. That could allow thundery showers to develop in the south, but it also may lead to a warmer air mass moving up across the UK.
The chart below from the GFS model shows pressure and precipitation at 15:00 GMT, Wednesday, 7th June.
Computer models are suggesting that high pressure will continue to have a lot of influence, but there are indications of low pressure pushing up from the south at times. That could bring more showery conditions to southern and central regions, but confidence in this development is currently very low.
The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Tuesday, 13th June. It indicates a large area of high pressure centred close to the UK.
Temperatures are likely to climb through the first week and it may become very warm, especially in the south. However, the chance of thundery showers will start to increase too.
The chart below shows forecast temperatures at 15:00 GMT, Thursday, 8th June.
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