14 day UK weather forecast

Driest and warmest in the south. 

UK outlook issued Thursday 9th July 2020

Week 1

More settled than recently.

Friday: Wales, south western and western England have a mostly dry day with sunny spells and just the odd shower. Elsewhere showers will be more frequent and they could be heavy at times, particularly in the north and east. Cool for July.

Saturday: Isolated showers are possible but most of the UK has a dry day with sunny spells. It will feel warmer than recently with temperatures close to the average in southern counties. 

Sunday: Outbreaks of rain spread into north western parts of the UK during the day. In other areas it remains dry with sunny spells. Warmer than recently. Locally in the south temperatures could reach 27C (81F).

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday: Southern and central counties should have a good deal of dry and bright weather, although there is still a risk of showery rain at times. In the north it remains more changeable with a greater risk of showers or longer spells of rain and shorter dry periods. Quite warm in the south but cooler in the north.

 

Forecast confidence is high falling to medium.

 



 

Week 2

Often settled in the south.

A good deal of settled weather is likely in the southern half of the UK. In the north it is forecast to be changeable with an ongoing possibility of showers or longer spells of rain. At times the rain risk could spread southwards. Temperatures close to average in the north but in the south it could be warm or very warm on some days. 

Forecast confidence is low.

Overview

Week 1

High pressure builds over the UK early in the period. Later on the balance between high pressure to the south and areas of low pressure to the north becomes more uncertain. Some computer model runs are showing an Atlantic flow returning to all of the UK. However, the favoured outcome is for pressure to remain high over the south for much of the time with the Atlantic flow more dominant in the north. 

Week 2

Pressure probably stays high for much of the week over the southern half of the UK. In the north an Atlantic flow is expected to win out with disturbances bringing an ongoing risk of rain.  

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Points of note

The south should have quite a lot of dry and settled weather. In the north things remain more mixed.  

For a huge range of data see the chart viewer which provides output from the Arpege, Arome, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, Hirlam, Icon, ECM, ECM ENS, UM and Fax models and works on PCs, tablet computers such as the iPad and smartphones.

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