14 day discussion The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week. Brighter and colder later Week 1: 09/11 to 15/11 Monday: A few showers are likely in the north east. Dry elsewhere, with bright spells developing as fog steadily lifts. Patchy frost early and late. Tuesday: Outbreaks of rain push northwards across southern and central regions. In much of the north it will be dry and bright, but in northern Scotland a band of rain slowly pushes southwards. Milder in the south than recently. Wednesday: Rain in southern and central areas steadily eases, although it is likely to remain wet in the south west. In Scotland a band of patchy rain edges southwards and over the mountains snow is possible. Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday: Further rain is possible in the south west to begin with, but brighter and colder conditions steadily push southwards. Scattered showers are likely in northern and eastern Britain, turning wintry over high ground in the north. Night frost becomes increasingly widespread. Forecast confidence is high falling to moderate. Ad-free browsing and premium features Subscribe to The Weather Outlook Premium to enjoy ad-free browsing and extra features. Subscribe on a recurring monthly basis or for a fixed 12 month period. Find out more: The Weather Outlook Premium Becoming unsettled Week 2: 16/11 to 22/11 At the start of the week winds strengthen and outbreaks of rain steadily spread eastwards.Unsettled conditions are then expected to continue, with showers or longer spells of rain in all regions, but the wettest conditions may be focused on southern and central regions. Temperatures close to or slightly above average in the south, but the north could be colder at times leading to the possibility of sleet or snow over high ground. Forecast confidence is very low. Expected developments Week 1 An area of low pressure to the southwest pushes weather fronts towards the UK through the first few days. During the second half of the week they retreat southwards as colder Arctic air pushes southwards. High pressure then builds in from the west. The chart below is from the UK Met Global model. It shows forecast surface conditions at 12:00 Thursday 12th November. Week 2 Areas of low pressure are likely to remain close to the UK, perhaps tracking farther south than is typical. That could allow colder air to filter into the north at times, but the key point is that a more unsettled pattern is expected to dominate. The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Wednesday 18th November. Key developments A mixed bag of weather is forecast. During the first few days outbreaks of rain affect southern and central regions before colder and drier conditions push southwards across all areas. Frost could become widespread and sharp for a time, but unsettled weather is expected to dominate the second week. The UKV chart shows forecast temperatures at 06:00 Thursday 12th November.