Issued Sunday 17th March 2024
Issued 12th March 2024
The 14 day video forecast is usually updated weekly.
The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week.
Monday: Central and eastern areas have sunny spells and scattered showers. In the west cloud builds and winds strengthen. Outbreaks of rain push into Northern Ireland and by the evening they reach western Britain. Very mild, with temperatures peaking close to 17°C in south eastern England.
Tuesday: Patchy outbreaks of rain clear southeastwards to leave a mix of sunny spells and showers. Later in the day more persistent spells of rain push into the south west. Very mild.
Wednesday: Outbreaks of rain move across Wales, central and northern England, and southern Scotland. Initially the rain will be heavy, but it is expected to become lighter as it pulls away eastwards. Areas to the north and south remain mostly dry. Very mild in the south, but in the north temperatures will be closer to the average.
Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday: Changeable. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely in all regions. However, it is expected to turn cooler with an increasing risk of sleet or snow over high ground in the north. Towards the end of the period the risk of frost may become more widespread.
Forecast confidence is high falling to medium.
Free trial period and payment options to browse the TWO website without adverts. You'll also get access to extra features and supporting our ongoing development.
For full details please see Advert free access on our website.
Changeable conditions are forecast to continue through the week. Therefore, all regions can expect showers or longer spells rain at times. In general, the wettest conditions are forecast to be in the west. Temperatures may start a little on the low side, but they return to the norm through the first few days.
Forecast confidence is low.
A southwesterly flow covers the UK to begin with, but a ridge of high pressure builds from the southwest for a time. However, the high pressure area is expected to quickly become centred further west, leading to a colder northwesterly flow pushing down across all areas.
The chart below is from the GFS model. It shows pressure at 15:00, Thursday 21st March.
Areas of low pressure remain close to the UK for much of the week. Therefore, further periods of wet weather are likely in all regions. A west or southwesterly flow is expected to become increasingly dominant, but to begin with a chillier northwesterly wind is likely.
The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Wednesday 27th March.
After a very mild start temperatures will dip, at least for a time. Drier interludes are expected, but a changeable pattern is forecast to persist and bring an ongoing risk of showers or longer spells of rain.
The chart below shows forecast temperatures at 15:00, Tuesday 19th March.
Frequently requested locations. Use the Place or postcode picker at the top of the page for all other locations.
For a huge range of data see the Model inventory which provides output from the Arpege, Arome, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, Icon, ECM, ECM ENS, UKV, UM and Fax models.
Post your weather photos using our weather camera and image uploader. Remember to add the descriptive tags if possible. We will try to crop it automatically to the correct size.
If you don't have a TWO account no problem - simply use your Google or Facebook login to authenticate.
View all published user photos in the Weather picture gallery
© TheWeatherOutlook - https://www.theweatheroutlook.com
Will the relentless rain relent for Easter?
Cheltenham Festival weather
A close to average spring?
Spring 2024 UK weather
Storm Isha to batter UK
Daily weather by email
14 day outlook
Monthly outlook
Seasonal outlook
Christmas weather
See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data