14 day video Issued 23rd June 2026 The 14 day video forecast is usually updated weekly. Showers 14 day discussion The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week. Record breaking heatwave Week 1: 22/06 to 28/06 Monday: Showery rain affects northern and western areas, and at times it could turn thundery. Areas to the south and east have sunny spells and it becomes hot with temperatures climbing into the low 30s°C. Thundery showers could push into the south east later. Tuesday: Isolated thundery showers may develop, but for most of the UK it will be dry with long sunny periods. Extreme and potentially record-breaking heat is expected in England and western Wales, with temperatures climbing into the mid-30s°C. In Scotland and Northern Ireland temperatures are likely to reach the mid-20s°C. Wednesday, Thursday: Extreme and potentially record-breaking heat is forecast. Temperatures in England and Wales are likely to peak between 35°C and 40°C on both days. It will also be very warm in the north, where 30°C may be exceeded in places. There is a risk of showers or thunderstorms, and where they develop temperatures will be capped at lower levels. Friday, Saturday, Sunday: The heat is expected to ease through the period. Heavy and thundery showers steadily spread eastwards. However, there is uncertainty about the timing of the transition, with the south and east holding on to hot conditions for the longest. Forecast confidence is high falling to moderate. Ad-free browsing and premium features Enjoy a free trial and flexible payment options to browse the TWO website without adverts. Gain access to exclusive premium features while helping support our continued development. Find out more: Ad-free access on our website Changeable early on Week 2: 29/06 to 05/07 Temperatures remain above the average early on, but much lower than they were through the first week. There is a risk of showery spells of rain in all areas to begin with but later it probably become more settled again. At this stage the extreme heat isn't expected to return, but it could become warm or even very warm. Forecast confidence is very low. Expected developments Week 1 Low pressure will be centred to the west and high pressure to the east. The combination allows for a record-breakingly warm air mass to push northwards across the UK. Towards the end of the week pressure begins to fall and cooler air from the Atlantic starts returning. The chart below is from the UK Met Global model. It shows forecast temperatures at approximately 1500m above sea level at 12:00, Wednesday 24th June. Week 2 Low pressure is likely to have influence early on, leading to more mixed conditions. However, there are indications of high pressure beginning to build back later. The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Wednesday 1st July. Key developments Record-breaking heat is expected during the first week. Temperatures are likely to peak in the 35°C to 40°C range, although there is some uncertainty, in part due to the risk of thunderstorms developing. Towards the end of the first week cooler air begins returning from the west and showery rain spreads eastwards. UKV chart shows forecast temperatures at 15:00, Thursday 25th June.