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Christmas Weather Forecast

Will it be a white Christmas? Follow the countdown to 25th December and see how the odds of snow are shaping up across the UK and Ireland. Our model-based regional outlooks run from late July, and from early September we publish a regularly updated hand-written perspective.

143
sleeps until Christmas
60.94% of the way through the Christmas year
Last Christmas Christmas Day

Games

Can't wait to find out if it will snow this Christmas? Play our free festive games to help pass the time.

Christmas 2026

Coming soon...

Santa's Snow Show

Convert rain to snow and build a covering.

Play Santa's Snow Show

Santa's Puzzle Forecast

Solve the puzzles and learn fun weather facts.

Play Santa's Puzzle Forecast

Save our White Christmas

Turn the rain to snow to save the big day.

Play Save our White Christmas

Christmas Weather Updates

We provide two perspectives on the Christmas 2026 forecast:

  • The Weather Outlook says: Our expert view. Regular updates start in early September.
  • The Computer says: Raw computer model data. Daily updates have started.

The Weather Outlook Says

What's the latest outlook for a white Christmas?

The journey will soon start again. Will Christmas 2026 finally be the one to bring widespread snow to the UK? The excitement starts building as the nights rapidly pull in during the autumn months!

Percentage chance of snow on Christmas Day:

North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: Pending (September)

South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: Pending (September)

Updates: 1: Expected 01/09/26

The Computer Says

Updated daily and generated automatically from long-range computer model data.

Southern England

Snow

Wales

Cold and dry

Central England

Cold and dry

Northern England

Too mild for snow

Scotland

Cold and dry

Northern Ireland

Cold and dry

Republic of Ireland

Cold and dry

Netherlands

Too mild for snow

Video Forecast 

Next video forecast update will be in November.

Christmas Charts and Data

Charts and data to help you make your own forecast.

850hPa Temperature Anomaly Forecast

The GEFS35 charts don't yet reach the Christmas period.

What do they mean? Blue shading indicates a colder than average air mass, while red indicates a warmer than average one. Therefore, if you're hoping for cold and potentially snowy weather it's blue you want to see over the UK.

GEFS35 850hPa temperature anomaly chart

 

The ghost of Christmas past

If the past is the best guide to the future, you may find it interesting to check out these charts from Christmases gone. Links open in a new window.

1981 - 2010 temperature average

Average temperatures on 25th December during the 1981–2010 period are shown on the chart below.

1981 to 2010 average temperatures for Christmas Day