February could be a notably mild month

By

[Published 06:20 12/02/2024]

Near to Berkhamsted. Deer enjoying the quiet weather. Posted by brian gaze

Valentine's Day falls during what is statistically one of the coldest periods of the year in the UK. However, this week the focus is on mild conditions and there is the potential for it to be very mild at times. The Central England Temperature (CET) is provisionally a massive 4.1°C above the 1961-90 norm to the 10th of the month, and there is nothing in the short to medium term outlook that suggests it will be taking a dive. (If you would like to browse the website without adverts and contribute to its ongoing development, explore the payment options, see below)


14 day weather forecast video

Issued 6th February 2024

14 day video weather forecast

 


Weather forecast discussion

Issued 12th February 2024

Monday begins with showers in the north west. Elsewhere it is a mostly dry picture.

Through the day showers push eastwards across the northern half of the UK. In the north west they could merge to give longer spells of rain at times. Over the Scottish mountains sleet or snow is possible. Southern and central regions may see an odd shower, but the emphasis is on dry conditions with variable amounts of cloud.

Temperatures range from 5°C in the far north to 9°C in the south. You can check the weather radar for the most up to date view.

Ad free access and extra features

Free trial period and payment options to browse the TWO website without adverts. You'll also get access to extra features and supporting our ongoing development.

 

For full details please see Advert free access on our website.

UKV 1
UK Met Office UKV, rain and snow, 15:00 Monday 12th February

Tonight, showers continue in the north west but in the rest of the UK it will be dry. However, later on cloud builds in the south west and by the morning outbreaks of rain develop. Chilly with a patchy frost in central and northern areas.

Tomorrow, outbreaks of rain steadily spread northwards across much of England, Wales and Northern Ireland. The heaviest ones will be in the west, with central and eastern counties probably having a reasonable amount of dry periods. Scotland has a few showers early on and there could be some rain in the far north later. Quite windy.

UKV 2
UK Met Office UKV, temperatures, 15:00 Tuesday 13th February

Mixed weather continues

Wednesday is looking mixed. Patchy outbreaks of rain affect England, Wales, Northern Ireland and southern Scotland. They could turn heavy at times in the west. Northern Scotland remains dry. Very mild in the southern half of the UK.

The unsettled theme continues on Thursday. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible in much of the UK, and it is likely to be very mild.

More of the same on Friday as the weather continues to move in from the Atlantic. Therefore, showers or longer spells of rain are possible and temperatures remain above the February average.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 15:00 Friday 16th February

Today's featured photo

Near to Berkhamsted. Deer enjoying the quiet weather. Posted by brian gaze

Upload your photos

PS: A massive thanks to all of you who post such fantastic pics. They're much appreciated, so please keep them coming!



Recent news and features

 

Storm Isha to batter UK

Weather picture gallery

Advert free access to our website


Hourly weather

Frequently requested locations. Use the Place or postcode picker at the top of the page for all other locations.

16 day weather

Frequently requested locations. Use the Place or postcode picker at the top of the page for all other locations.


Recent videos

Subscribe to our YouTube channel

 

Get weather notifications

FORECASTS

TOOLS AND FEATURES

RECENT DAILY LEAD NEWS



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data