Colder weather later this week

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[Published 06:45 20/11/2023]

Near to Berkhamsted Ice on a handrail. Posted by brian gaze

The week starts on a mixed note with showery rain in places. However, a change will take place tomorrow as high pressure moves in from the west. It brings drier conditions, particularly to southern and central regions. By Thursday the high pressure starts to build further northwest, and Arctic air pushes southwards towards the UK. Forecast details are uncertain, but Friday and the weekend are looking cold. (If you would like to browse the website without adverts and contribute to its ongoing development, explore the payment options, see below)


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Issued 14th November 2023

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Weather forecast discussion

Issued 20th November 2023

Monday starts with outbreaks of rain in parts of the south and some heavy showers in northern England. Elsewhere, there is a lot of dry weather.

This morning the rain in the south clears southeastwards. Sunny spells develop, but there will quite a lot of cloud around and showers become more widespread. In north eastern Scotland more persistent outbreaks of rain are possible. Quite windy, particularly in the north and west.

Temperatures range from 7°C in northern Scotland to 11°C in southern England. You can check the rain radar for the most up to date view.

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The seasonal forecast will be issued later this month, but the Winter 2023-24 third update which looks at some of the latest computer model data and background signals is available to read.

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UKV 1
UK Met Office UKV, cloud and rain, 15:00 Monday, 20th November

Tonight, showery rain push southwards across Britain. Areas to its north and south will be mainly dry.

Tomorrow the patchy rain slowly clears southwards, although it could stay damp in the south east into the afternoon. There could also be patchy rain in the north west, but other areas remain dry.

UKV 2
UK Met Office UKV, temperatures, 15:00 Tuesday, 21st November

Cold air pushing southwards?

Wednesday is expected to be dry in southern and central regions. In the north and west there is a risk of patchy outbreaks of rain. Temperatures will be close to the average in the south and above it in the north. Windy in the north.

The dry period continues in the south on Thursday. However, in the northern half of the UK a band of rain is likely to be pushing southwards. Colder air follows into Scotland later on.

By Friday forecast confidence become very low. At the moment, the most likely scenario is for colder air to be pushing southwards across the UK. It's impact is most likely to be felt in the east and the north, where wintry showers are possible.

GFS chart 1
GFS, surface pressure and precipitation, 15:00 Friday, 24th November

Today's featured photo

Near to Berkhamsted. Ice on a handrail. Posted by brian gaze.

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