SSW and El Nino in the mix this month By Brian Gaze [Published 07:20 01/11/2026] November will start with weather as El Niño looks set to take a back seat, at least for a while. A record breakingly early Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) adds to the uncertainty, potentially increasing the chance of cold spells later in the month. That said, computer models are showing the Stratospheric Polar Vortex (SPV) recovering through the middle of the month, with a more unsettled pattern returning. 14 day forecast video Issued 27th October 2026 Patchy rain edging southwards Patchy fog in southern and central areas will lift this morning, leaving sunny spells. It will also be bright in Scotland and Northern Ireland. However, cloud and patchy rain in northern England and northern Wales will gradually push southwards into central areas through the day. Temperatures range from 9°C in the north to 14°C in the south east. Check the weather radar for the most up to date view. Ad-free browsing and premium features Subscribe to The Weather Outlook Premium to enjoy ad-free browsing and extra features. Subscribe on a recurring monthly basis or for a fixed 12 month period. Find out more: The Weather Outlook Premium UKV, Sunday 1st November [Tap animation to toggle cities] Tonight:Patchy outbreaks of rain clear southwards. Clear spells then develop in all areas and it will become quite cold with ground frost developing widely. The Signal Stay up to date with the latest weather forecasts and computer model trends by exploring our new feature, The Signal. It includes short videos, animations, and charts. View The Signal Tomorrow: Scattered showers are likely in northern and eastern areas. Despite that, most of the UK will have a dry and bright day. It will be cooler than recently. UKV, Monday 2nd November [Tap animation to toggle cities] Tuesday: Scattered showers push into northern and eastern areas. Despite that, most of the UK will have a dry and bright day. Temperatures will be lower than recently and a keen wind in the south and East Anglia make it feel chilly. Outlook: Mostly settled weather is expected, although showers could develop at times in the south and east. Temperatures are expected to be a little below average and it will feel chilly, particularly in the south. The risk of fog continues and the potential for frost increases. GFS overview for Tuesday 3rd November - Thursday 5th November