Dreaming of a White Christmas?

Welcome to our Christmas 2017 weather forecast page. Forecasting even a few days ahead is challenging in the UK so how is it possible to confidently predict the weather for a single day months ahead? The answer is it isn't! Usually it's not until the second week of December that things firm up but that doesn't stop us taking a fun look ahead to Christmas Day.

Time until December 25th

41.18% there
Sep 1st
Dec 25th

Christmas weather forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says is based on computer models and the weather patterns during the autumn.

The Computer says uses raw computer model data and is updated daily.

TheWeatherOutlook says

Our Christmas updates started at the beginning of September and we're well over a third of the way to the big day. The weather is showing some similarities with last autumn and the medium range computer models are hinting at the Polar Vortex being displaced. Another point of note is the growing likelihood of La Nina conditions this winter. Those two factors may lead to an increased chance of cold snaps during the early part of the winter.

Therefore update 7 makes no change to the chance of a White Christmas in both the north and south of the UK.

But please remember:

1) There is a long time for things to change

2) Even during milder than average winter months cold snaps can bring snow


Chance of snow on Christmas Day

North of Yorkshire / Lancashire:14%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 9%

Update 7 14/10/2017

Updates are usually weekly.

The Computer says

  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
  • Cold but dry conditions are expected in Wales
  • Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Midlands
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.
  • Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
  • Snow is expected in the Netherlands
Forecast issued 18/10/2017 07:19:24



Other forecasts

Use the place of postcode selector at the top of this page for the local weather forecast. The links below are to discussion and long range outlooks.

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Regularly updated discussion forecasts.

14 day outlook

Monthly outlook

Seasonal outlook

Christmas outlook