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Storm clouds over south Derbyshire. Posted by john.mcdyre View the full size picture.

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Monday starts dry with patchy rain in northern England but elsewhere it is fine. Much of the UK has sunny spells through the day but heavy and thundery showers break out. The heaviest ones will generally be in the west. It remains cloudier in north eastern England and much of Scotland with patchy outbreaks of rain.

Temperatures range from 19C (66F) to 25C (77F). See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 15th June

Tonight showers continue in Wales and the south west. Elsewhere they fade away and clear spells develop across the southern half of the UK. In the north there will be more cloud and it could continue to bring some light rain, particularly in western Scotland.

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Tomorrow it's a similar picture. There will be sunny periods but showers break out again and they could be more frequent than today. Some are expected to be heavy and thundery. It will be warm, although with more showers around temperatures could be down a degree or two on today's values in the south and east.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 16th June

Uncertain outlook

Wednesday brings sunny spells and widespread showers to the southern half of the UK. Much of the north should be drier, but some showers are likely in western Scotland. It remains quite warm.

During Thursday there is a risk of more persistent outbreaks of rain pushing westwards across southern and central Britain. The north probably has a mostly dry and warm day with sunny periods. 

Through Friday and the weekend it looks as though a ridge of high pressure will build from the southwest. Forecast details are uncertain. Initially thundery showers remain possible but it could progressively become drier in the south. In the north it may become unsettled with outbreaks of rain returning from the Atlantic. 

GFS, surface pressure and 500hPa heights, 16:00 BST Sat 20th June

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