Frozen In Time

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High pressure holds the fort

[Updated 07:20 16/09/2019]

Overcast weather

High pressure keeps the weather mainly settled through the working week. Temperatures will be lower than in recent days and some cool nights are likely. Towards the end of the week it warms up again but more changeable conditions could begin to return from the north west....READ IN FULL

Monday starts with patchy spells of rain in central England and southern Wales. Elsewhere it is mainly dry. Through the day the rain edges southwards and becomes lighter. Central and northern regions have sunny spells but showers affect northern Scotland. Quite windy in the north.    

It will be cooler than recently in the southern half of the country. Temperatures range 12C (54F) in the north to 19C (66F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 16th September

Tonight the remnants of the rain in the south move away. Clear spells form widely and it will be chilly. Parts of the north have a ground frost.

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Tomorrow will be fine in southern and central regions. There will be more cloud in the north and outbreaks of rain could push into western Scotland by the evening. After a chilly start a northerly flow keeps temperatures pegged back but it still feels pleasant in brighter parts of the south.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, cloud cover, 16:00 BST Tue 17th September

Change on the way?

Wednesday should be sunny in the south and east. In the north and west thicker cloud brings some light rain. Temperatures will be close to the seasonal average.

Thursday looks dry and sunny in the south. Northern areas have bright spells too but there is likely to be more cloud. Feeling quite warm in the south.

During the rest of the working week it remains mainly dry and settled in much of the country. High pressure drifts eastwards and that leads to the winds turning into a south or southwesterly direction. Daytime temperatures rise into the low to mid 20Cs.

By the weekend the details become more uncertain. Disturbances from the Atlantic are expected to bring more unsettled conditions to the north west and they may start to push southeastwards across much of the country.

GFS chart 1

GFS, 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Fri 20th September

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