Frozen In Time

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Warm and sunny for many today

[Updated 07:00 16/07/2019]

Parasol

Much of the country has a fine day but the rest of the working week will see more unsettled weather extending southwards. Most areas can expect some rain, including the south where it has been very dry recently. This weekend it probably turns drier and there are tentative signs of very warm or hot conditions later next week....READ IN FULL

Tuesday starts dry in most of the UK but there are a few showers in the north west. Sunny spells develop widely today but showers bubble up in central and northern areas. A few of them could be heavy and thundery. The south remains dry and warm.  

Temperatures range from 18C (64F) in western Scotland to 25C (77F) in south eastern England. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 16th July

Tonight showers fade away to leave clear skies. Later on cloud builds from the west and outbreaks of rain push into the north west.

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Tomorrow a band of heavy rain moves into much of the north and west. Ahead of it a few showers break out many places stay dry. The warmest and brightest weather is likely in East Anglia and south eastern England where temperatures could reach 26C (78F).   

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 17th July

Unsettled weather for a time

During Thursday outbreaks of rain spread southeastwards. By early afternoon brighter and fresher conditions are expected to follow on to all regions. However, heavy showers then return to Scotland and Northern Ireland. 

Friday starts showery in the north. Elsewhere it looks dry but through the afternoon rain pushes northeastwards. The south east as well as the northern half of Scotland probably stay mostly dry. 

The weekend begins with a risk of rain in all regions. During Saturday brighter conditions return from the west but showers continue in the north. By Sunday it could become drier and warmer in much of the country but outbreaks of rain possibly  return in the north west.

Next week is looking mainly dry in the south  and east. In the north and west it will be more changeable. Some computer model runs are showing hot conditions later on with temperatures climbing above 30C (86F). At the moment it is too early to be confident about that outcome.

GFS forecast 500hPa heights

GFS 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Sun 21st July

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Temperatures remain close to the average for much of the time. A mix of settled and changeable periods is expected. View latest GEFS.


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