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Tuesday starts with heavy rain in northern and western Scotland. During the day it pushes eastwards and becomes patchier. Elsewhere there will be sunny periods. By midday showers push into southern coastal counties and this afternoon they move northwards across southern Britain. Some of them become heavy with thunderstorms likely in central and eastern England by the evening.

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the north to 24C (75F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 18th June

Tonight drier conditions gradually return into south eastern England. Across much of central and northern England, as well as western Wales, outbreaks of showery rain continue. There could also be showers in the far north west.

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Monthly forecast

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Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019

Tomorrow the thunderstorms in the east clear to leave cooler and brighter conditions. Elsewhere there will be sunny spells and showers which become heavy in the north and west.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 19th June

Very wet early next week?

Thursday brings mixed weather. In Scotland showers could merge to give longer spells of rain. There could also be some heavy showers in southern and eastern England. Elsewhere it remains mainly dry and bright.

The rather cool and showery theme continues on Friday. By the weekend the showers may become more scattered as high pressure builds. Temperatures are also expected to rise and it should feel pleasantly warm.

Forecast confidence for early next week is low. However computer models are suggesting the likelihood of heavy outbreaks of rain spreading northwards.

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Sun 23rd June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A trend towards drier conditions is shown in the short term. Around the 20th June the risk of it turning wetter increases again. Temperatures fluctuate but in the south it could become warm or very warm for a time. View latest GEFS.