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Dry and bright in the south

[Updated 07:15 17/06/2019]

Fair weather

The coming days bring mixed weather but there will be a more summery feel to things than there was last week. In the short term it warms up in the south but downpours develop tomorrow and continue into Wednesday. Showery conditions then return, but by the weekend high pressure could build and bring a more settled period....READ IN FULL

Monday starts with showers in Northern Ireland and Scotland. There is also a band of rain in Wales and northern England. During the day it becomes patchier and some bright spells develop. Showers continue in the north west of the UK but elsewhere it will be mainly dry with sunny spells.

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in the north to 21C (70F) in southern and central regions. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 17th June

Tonight it becomes drier for a time. Later on wet weather returns to the north west.


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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019


Tomorrow outbreaks of rain spread across Scotland and Northern Ireland but they become more intermittent. England and Wales have warm sunny spells in the morning. In the afternoon heavy thundery showers push up from the south. They bring the risk of difficult driving conditions and flash flooding. It will be warm across the southern half of the UK.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 18th June

Outlook remains mixed

During Wednesday downpours are likely in the south east and East Anglia for a time. By the afternoon they should have cleared to leave cooler and brighter conditions. Elsewhere there will be sunny spells and showers which become heavy in the north and west.   

Thursday and Friday look cooler and showery. By the weekend the showers may become more scattered as high pressure builds. Temperatures are also expected to rise and it should feel pleasantly warm.

The longer term outlook remains mixed. Sunny and quite warm spells are likely, especially in the south. There is also a risk of heavy and thundery showers.

GFS forecast 500hPa heights and pressure

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Sat 22nd June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A trend towards drier conditions is shown in the short term. Around the 20th June the risk of it turning wetter increases again. Temperatures fluctuate but in the south it could become warm or very warm for a time. View latest GEFS.


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