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Saturday starts dry and it is cooler than it has been recently. During the course of the day it remains dry and cloud cover breaks to give sunny spells.

Temperatures this afternoon range from 8C (48F) in northern Scotland to 12C (54F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, forecast cloud cover, 15:00 GMT Sat 17th November

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Tonight it stays dry. Under clear skies quite a widespread frost is likely to form by the morning.

Another dry and bright day is in prospect tomorrow. Maximum temperatures of between 8C (46F) and 11C (52F) won't be far off the mid November average and a keen easterly wind in the south adds to the chillier feel. 

GFS, forecast pressure and precipitation, 15:00 GMT Sun 18th November

Colder and increasingly showery

During the first few days of next week it will turn cold as an easterly flow becomes established. On Monday scattered showers affect eastern counties but elsewhere it remains dry.

Through Tuesday and Wednesday an area of low pressure deepens to the south of the UK. That leads to increasingly showery conditions spreading northwards. The showers could merge to give longer spells of rain and and there is a risk of them becoming wintry at times. Over high ground there is the likelihood of snow with accumulations possible above 200m.

Through the second half of the week the low pressure area pushes northward keeping the weather changeable. The cold air is expected to be be steadily mixed out, so showers turn back to rain away from high ground in the north and temperatures edge upwards.

GFS forecast MSLP and 850hPa temperatures, 15:00 GMT Fri 23rd November

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