IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

Tuesday is off to a very wet start in the north west of the UK. Through the day rain continues in western, central and northern Scotland but it eases off in Northern Ireland. Eastern Scotland is expected to remain mostly dry. England and Wales have a fine day with sunny periods, the best of which will be in southern and central regions.

Temperatures range from about 10C (50F) in the north to a warm 20C (68F) in the south. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, forecast rain, 16:00 BST Tue 9th October

Forecast short cuts

Autumn 2018 forecast

Christmas 2018 countdown

Winter 2018/19 weather  - update 2

Tonight the wet weather affecting parts of Scotland slowly pulls away northwards. By the morning it probably only remains in the far north. The rest of the UK has a dry night but patchy fog could form.

Tomorrow all areas have sunny periods. The upper air mass will be almost as warm as it was during the summer heatwaves but the shorter days limit the potential for temperatures to rise. Nonetheless maximum values could reach 24C (75F) to give an Indian Summer feel to the weather.

Meteo France Arpege, forecast temperatures, 16:00 BST Wed 10th October

More changeable later this week

During the first half of Thursday a band of showery rain is expected to push northeastwards across the UK but some warm spells of sunshine develop behind it in the south. Later in the day wet and windy weather spreads into the west of the UK and by the evening it could reach central areas.

On Friday rain affects much of the UK. It will also be windy and severe gales are likely in the north west with gusts in  exposed coastal locations possibly reaching 80mph. South eastern England could stay mainly dry.  

This weekend is looking changeable but there is uncertainty about the balance between  high pressure centred over the continent and low pressure areas in the Atlantic. Saturday is expected to be wet in the west but eastern and south eastern areas may be mostly dry. Overnight and into Sunday the rain should clear eastwards to be followed by brighter and showery conditions. 

GFS, forecast pressure and 850hPa temperatures, 16:00 BST Sat 13th October

Mixed next week?

At this stage changeable weather is favoured next week. The wettest spells are likely to be in the north west with drier periods more frequent in the south east. Temperatures probably stay be close for much of the period but it could be chilly in the north at times.

Register for the TWO community

If you would like to join the TWO community please see how to register for the forum. People with all levels of meteorological knowledge are very welcome to apply. However if you're a meteorology (or related subject) student or recent graduate there may be an opportunity for you to earn some money next summer.

Forecast tools

Check the latest satellite images, computer model charts and rain radar:

1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

DWD ICON forecast charts

EUMETSAT high resolution satellite images

Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Above average temperatures are shown for most of the period. A lot of dry weather is shown in the south but the north remains more unsettled.. View latest GEFS.