Frozen In Time

Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.

IMPORTANT : ARCHIVED CONTENT

North to south split this weekend

[Updated 06:55 30/09/2018]

Frosty weather

The Central England Temperature (CET) for September is running close to 0.5C above the 30 year average. Despite that there have been some cold nights nights in the south. The main reason for them has been the combination of high pressure and dry ground. This weekend it will be dry in the south but the north has more changeable weather....READ IN FULL

Saturday starts dry away from the far north west. It has been a very cold night in the southern half of the UK and locally temperatures have dipped below 0C (32F). Through the day a band of wet and windy weather pushes southeastwards across Scotland and into Northern Ireland. England and Wales stay dry with sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. 

Temperatures this afternoon range from 10C (50F) in northern Scotland to 17C (63F) in southern England. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Arpege, forecast temperatures, 16:00 BST Sat 29th September


Forecast short cuts

Autumn 2018 forecast

Christmas 2018 countdown

Winter 2018/19 weather  - update 2


Tonight the band of rain pushes southwards into northern and central areas but it fragments and fades away. Showery conditions follow on behind it into Scotland. Southern and central counties of England remain dry, and in the first half of the night it will be cold under clear skies. Later on cloud spreads into central areas but the south may remain clear with some patchy frost and fog forming the morning

Tomorrow begins dry for most. During the day showery rain develops in Scotland and it moves southeastwards into north eastern England. It is likely to be cold enough for snow over the Scottish mountains snow. Southern and central counties have another dry day but there will be a lot of cloud early on. In the afternoon it turns brighter from the northwest.

Arpege forecast chart 2Arpege, forecast precipitation type, 15:00 BST Sun 30th September

High pressure in the south next week

Monday should be another fine day in the southern half of the UK. The north has a dry start but wet and windy weather spreads across Scotland and Northern Ireland later on. It will be quite cold.

Overnight and into Tuesday the outbreaks of rain push move down into central and southern counties, but they become increasingly patchy. Showery weather returns to the north and in the north east it could become very windy.

The rest of the week is looking changeable in the north. Southern and central Britain may see some rain but the focus is on dry weather.

GFS forecast chart 1

GFS, forecast pressure and 500hPA heights, 16:00 BST Thu 4th October

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.
{ADVERT}

Register for the TWO community

If you would like to join the TWO community please see how to register for the forum. People with all levels of meteorological knowledge are very welcome to apply. However if you're a meteorology (or related subject) student or recent graduate there may be an opportunity for you to earn some money next summer.

Forecast tools

Check the latest satellite images, computer model charts and rain radar:

1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

DWD ICON forecast charts

EUMETSAT high resolution satellite images

Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

The southern half of the UK settled conditions for much of the time but during the middle third of October the risk of rain increases. The north has more mixed conditions but early on quite a lot of dry weather is shown. View latest GEFS.



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data