lanky
15 January 2023 13:37:09
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

I didn’t see it, did he mention Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday at all? 😇


Susan Powell just did the BBC weather for the week on BBC1 at 13:10

Mon-Thurs this week large low pressure covering most of W Europe centred to our NNE maintaining a N airstream but smaller features cannot be accurately predicted this far out by the models. Smaller features most likely Mon along S Coast and clipping SE England, Tues N France, Wed N North Sea, Thur S North Sea. Temps 3-5C most days so snow over high ground if these small features come a little closer to the UK. The Sun/Mon feature running along the Channel likely to give heavy rain in the SE tomorrow morning with some snow over The Downs and The Weald. By Friday, The Atlantic making a comeback with a warm front approaching the west of the UK
 
Martin
Richmond, Surrey
dagspot
16 January 2023 14:09:45
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
16 January 2023 16:38:24
Originally Posted by: dagspot 

anyone come across any ‘chaos’ ?

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/21054663/uk-weather-travel-chaos-yellow-warnings/amp/ 



The floods around here are notable this winter. My son went to London on Friday but the track went in a major landslip and flooding elsewhere means he's staying tonight in Southampton.
https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/23253777.pictures-flooding-dorchester-charminster-stratton/ 



 
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
bledur
16 January 2023 18:47:32
Originally Posted by: NMA 

The floods around here are notable this winter. My son went to London on Friday but the track went in a major landslip and flooding elsewhere means he's staying tonight in Southampton.
https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/23253777.pictures-flooding-dorchester-charminster-stratton/ 



 


Yes indeed the Groundwater flooding round here is as high as it gets . Quite a few roads are now impassable with a car although the idiots keep trying . The water is pouring out the ground at quite high points now which shows how high the water table is . I am glad to see it as it was awfully dry before and at least we can go into a drought with high reserves.
dagspot
16 January 2023 22:00:38
SKL BBC  ‘Warming up, High Pressure, Rain into northwest’ 
Not hugely inspiring if looking for cold
Not hugely inspiring in terms of detailed longer-term forecast… 
Neilston 600ft ASL
Crepuscular Ray
17 January 2023 11:52:28
An Amber warning now for heavy snow later today in Highland and Grampian areas as the wee 'Low' comes SSE into the North Sea and increasing the winds

A lot of this area has a decent snow cover already
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
doctormog
17 January 2023 12:24:28
Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

An Amber warning now for heavy snow later today in Highland and Grampian areas as the wee 'Low' comes SSE into the North Sea and increasing the winds

A lot of this area has a decent snow cover already



None here so far and I do wonder if it may be more wet than white here given the mixing and sea influence. We will see in a while I guess! Somewhere (in more northern or inland parts) is likely to be hit hard I would guess given the wording in the warning.
Caprikid62
17 January 2023 12:27:45
Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

An Amber warning now for heavy snow later today in Highland and Grampian areas as the wee 'Low' comes SSE into the North Sea and increasing the winds

A lot of this area has a decent snow cover already



What's the chances of that wee low affecting central Scotland overnight ? No warnings for us as yet.
Kinross, Tayside Scotland 120m ASL
howham
17 January 2023 12:30:18
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

None here so far and I do wonder if it may be more wet than white here given the mixing and sea influence. We will see in a while I guess! Somewhere (in more northern or inland parts) is likely to be hit hard I would guess given the wording in the warning.



Yes please!  We had snow on Sunday night and again last night leaving a thin covering (about an inch?).  
dagspot
17 January 2023 12:39:00
Originally Posted by: Caprikid62 

What's the chances of that wee low affecting central Scotland overnight ? No warnings for us as yet.


Pretty slim Id say except skirting East coast. Though does have a wider western tail, presumably lost over the mountains as sinks south. Lets watch the blob south of Inverness and see where it goes/what it does

BBC graphics 1pm showing it fizzling out over mountains heading south
Neilston 600ft ASL
dagspot
17 January 2023 12:54:48
BBC News reporting ‘coldest night of the year’ last night… is that the case?  I thought last spell was much colder. 
Neilston 600ft ASL
wingman
17 January 2023 12:58:39
Coldest night of this year (2023) is where I suspect they are coming from. I can definitely confirm we had a minus 9 (maybe lower) here during the December 2022 spell 🙂
dagspot
17 January 2023 13:00:10
Originally Posted by: wingman 

Coldest night of this year (2023) is where I suspect they are coming from. I can definitely confirm we had a minus 9 (maybe lower) here during the December 2022 spell :-)


Of course! I didn’t think of that.  Low bar to set though after only 3 weeks
Neilston 600ft ASL
doctormog
17 January 2023 18:06:59
Question: should this storm have been named?

The Met Office criteria state: “A storm will be named when it has the potential to cause an amber or red warning.”
MRayner
17 January 2023 18:31:59
Is a storm or polar low? See your point though 🤔
Location Whisky 🥃 country, Cragganmore ,Moray, 440 AMSL
Gavin D
17 January 2023 20:11:07
BBC weather for the week ahead

Next week
  • Mainly dry and settled
  • Often cloudy
  • Light winds
  • Milder


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/64297333 
Gavin D
18 January 2023 15:48:31
BBC Monthly Outlook

Drier next week then changeable from late January

Wednesday 18 January to – Sunday 22 January
Less cold and drier but rain in the west on Friday

Monday 23 January to – Sunday 29 January
Becoming drier and a bit chillier

Monday 30 January to – Sunday 12 February
Changeable. Maybe colder from mid-February onwards

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
Gavin D
18 January 2023 16:43:40
Met office 10 day trend

Next 5 days
  • Cold with hard night frosts
  • Snow chance reducing
  • Slowly turning milder from west

Next week
  • Drier
  • Frosts remain likely
  • Fog patches

SSW
  • Winds in stratosphere change
  • Can lead to changes to UK weather
  • Chances small at the moment



dagspot
18 January 2023 22:03:34
uninspiring BBC extended weather for the week.  At least nothing wild.  Grey and boring for most
Neilston 600ft ASL
dagspot
19 January 2023 18:00:13
who’s made way for the new female BBC weather presenter who seems to have been on 80% of BBC News broadcasts for past 48hrs?  Maybe Shafernaker been given the bullet again
Neilston 600ft ASL
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