Yes indeed the Groundwater flooding round here is as high as it gets . Quite a few roads are now impassable with a car although the idiots keep trying . The water is pouring out the ground at quite high points now which shows how high the water table is . I am glad to see it as it was awfully dry before and at least we can go into a drought with high reserves.

Not hugely inspiring if looking for cold

Not hugely inspiring in terms of detailed longer-term forecast… 

A lot of this area has a decent snow cover already

None here so far and I do wonder if it may be more wet than white here given the mixing and sea influence. We will see in a while I guess! Somewhere (in more northern or inland parts) is likely to be hit hard I would guess given the wording in the warning.

What's the chances of that wee low affecting central Scotland overnight ? No warnings for us as yet.

Yes please!  We had snow on Sunday night and again last night leaving a thin covering (about an inch?).  

Pretty slim Id say except skirting East coast. Though does have a wider western tail, presumably lost over the mountains as sinks south. Lets watch the blob south of Inverness and see where it goes/what it does

BBC graphics 1pm showing it fizzling out over mountains heading south

Of course! I didn’t think of that.  Low bar to set though after only 3 weeks

The Met Office criteria state: “A storm will be named when it has the potential to cause an amber or red warning.”

Next week

• Mainly dry and settled
• Often cloudy
• Light winds
• Milder

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/64297333 

Drier next week then changeable from late January

Wednesday 18 January to – Sunday 22 January

Less cold and drier but rain in the west on Friday

Monday 23 January to – Sunday 29 January

Becoming drier and a bit chillier

Monday 30 January to – Sunday 12 February

Changeable. Maybe colder from mid-February onwards

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Next 5 days

• Cold with hard night frosts
• Snow chance reducing
• Slowly turning milder from west

Next week

• Drier
• Frosts remain likely
• Fog patches

SSW

• Winds in stratosphere change
• Can lead to changes to UK weather
• Chances small at the moment

Alex Deakin did a very good job, in my opinion, and I learnt something. Sharing here for everyone else that might want a link. 

https://youtu.be/TF06lM1mic0 

I better get my candles, sledge and shovels

2” per hour is very specific 

https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotland-faces-two-inches-snow-29013525.amp 

They were using a chart at +342 hr from yesterday’s GFS 00z op run and basing a news story on it. Talk about desperation!

Drier late January. Turning wetter in February

Saturday 21 January to – Sunday 29 January

Turning milder and wetter. Drier, chiller later

Monday 30 January to – Sunday 5 February

A lot of dry weather but wetter later

Monday 6 February to – Sunday 19 February

Unsettled. Colder risks late month

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Because snow of any kind is rare in these parts it was notable even if minimal in quantity. It was heavy for a time too (twenty minutes).

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-dorset-64318059 

It's rare to see snow on Golden Cap as well. 

So that's two (minimal depth) snowfalls this winter but what is surprising is how long each one hung around. I think there must have been more frosts this winter too than for many winters past. Certainly made the daffs hold back  as they are not even in bud yet..

If you want to know more about the Stratospheric developments he covers this at 24:45 so skip until then.

The effects of the Stratospheric warming NOT Sudden Stratospheric warming but significant warming and decrease in speeds of zonal winds at 10hpa over the N. Pole won't have an impact on our weather until at least middle of February, and that's even if it does!?