Gavin D
05 December 2022 14:51:42
Met office forecast covering the 10th to 19th

"As time goes on, there is an increasing chance of milder air spreading from the southwest bringing longer periods of rain, with the potential for more widespread snow for a time on its leading edge, but low confidence as to when this might occur."

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 

Whiteout
05 December 2022 14:57:20
fairweather
05 December 2022 18:35:38
BBC forecast for rest of this week.  Snow Scotland and coastal fringes north of Wash. Slim chance in rest of UK but temps down to 2-3C by end of week and -6C widely at night.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
bledur
05 December 2022 18:48:27
BBC Automated has my area back up to 8c and showers by Fricay 16th so not looking like a long lived cold spell here seeing as it is yet to turn frosty.
Tom Oxon
05 December 2022 22:50:41
The BBC are describing 5-8C North to South as 'below average' - anecdotally I'd probably call that 'average' for December?
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
Rob K
06 December 2022 09:05:51
Originally Posted by: Tom Oxon 

The BBC are describing 5-8C North to South as 'below average' - anecdotally I'd probably call that 'average' for December?

Depends how far back you average! In recent Decembers it seems like 10-12C is the average down here. 

One thing I have noticed is how much the temperatures have been revised upwards here at short notice recently. A few days ago it was looking like quite a cool spell with maxima bit getting above 5C all week. Yesterday hit 8C and today is already forecast to be 7C. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Surrey John
06 December 2022 10:20:58
Met office has extended its warnings for Scotland 

Updated: 09:56 (UTC) on Tue 6 Dec 2022

Reason for update

The warning area has been expanded to include the Western Isles, updated to include ice and the validity period extended through Thursday morning.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-08&id=8785e37a-9f57-4095-ae68-1db03c822a32 

 


Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire

35m ASL

Whiteout
06 December 2022 10:52:39
Updated warnings:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-08 


Home/Work - Dartmoor

220m/725 ft asl

35 mins walk to 500m/1640 ft asl

 

Whiteout
06 December 2022 14:12:30
Sums it up nicely:

Cold weather is expected to continue through at least Sunday and into the beginning of next week, particularly in the north. Wintry showers will mainly affect coastal regions, with snow most likely over higher ground but perhaps falling to lower levels at times. By contrast, inland areas should see more in the way of fine and dry weather, with widespread frosts locally severe at times. While timing is uncertain for now, areas of cloud, rain and stronger winds are increasingly likely to progress into southwestern areas at times, with potential for significant snowfall along the leading edge of such systems. Temperatures remaining cold to very cold, with a chance of returning closer to normal across the south later into the period.


Home/Work - Dartmoor

220m/725 ft asl

35 mins walk to 500m/1640 ft asl

 

Hippydave
06 December 2022 21:19:04
Quite a good in-depth look summarising the setup and uncertainty with next weeks LP track:-

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-v9imFM23A 


Home: Tunbridge Wells

Work: Sevenoaks

Brian Gaze
06 December 2022 21:57:29
Originally Posted by: Whiteout 

Sums it up nicely:

Cold weather is expected to continue through at least Sunday and into the beginning of next week, particularly in the north. Wintry showers will mainly affect coastal regions, with snow most likely over higher ground but perhaps falling to lower levels at times. By contrast, inland areas should see more in the way of fine and dry weather, with widespread frosts locally severe at times. While timing is uncertain for now, areas of cloud, rain and stronger winds are increasingly likely to progress into southwestern areas at times, with potential for significant snowfall along the leading edge of such systems. Temperatures remaining cold to very cold, with a chance of returning closer to normal across the south later into the period.

Yes it certainly did when it was published, but only 8 hours later it is starting to look out of date. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

dagspot
06 December 2022 22:01:17
SKL 'Transient snow event for Southern England next week before turning milder'
Neilston 600ft ASL
Brian Gaze
06 December 2022 22:14:05
Originally Posted by: dagspot 

SKL 'Transient snow event for Southern England next week before turning milder'

That IMO is a very poor representation of her forecast. People can watch it in full here and make their own judgement.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/63861853 

 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
07 December 2022 09:17:09
MetO forecast for Tue 13th had sleety rain (60% chance) for Chichester showing first thing today; now cloudy and fairly cold (4/5C) but dry along with most of the S Coast. Plymouth, though, 7C with 70% chance of rain in the morning.

EDIT 1: The above was at 0917 - now (1147) temps are forecast at about 2C and light snow is back for Tue 13th evening in Chichester.

EDIT 2: As you were, at 1600, forecast is back to dry and 4C

Those of you who got a chance to read my daily review in the MO thread before the thread was deleted, having been contaminated with political overspill, will appreciate my comment there about N models producing 2N forecasts.


"The most severe frost last night and this morning as I ever felt  ... the water upstairs in the basins froze in a few minutes after being put there this morn". Parson Woodforde's Diary, 14th January 1792, Norfolk

Chichester 12m asl

Whiteout
07 December 2022 11:40:40
Warning updated and coverage increased.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-07 

Having not experienced a winter in the SW for 30 years, fasinating to see how we do out of this Northerly, reckon we could see a dusting.

Higher hills further North looking like doing well though.


Home/Work - Dartmoor

220m/725 ft asl

35 mins walk to 500m/1640 ft asl

 

bledur
07 December 2022 13:58:50
On BBC News warning that temps could dip to -6 tonight. Advice as to what people should do.This country has gone bananas.
Essan
07 December 2022 14:07:00
Originally Posted by: bledur 

On BBC News warning that temps could dip to -6 tonight. Advice as to what people should do.This country has gone bananas.

That's nearly two degrees colder than it was here this morning.  How will I cope?!!! 😨


Andy

Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl

Weather & Earth Science News 

Gavin D
07 December 2022 14:30:31
BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A cold December with some snow

Wednesday 7 December to – Sunday 11 December

Cold with wintry outbreaks

Monday 12 December to – Sunday 18 December

Remaining colder than average, risks of snow

Monday 19 December to – Sunday 1 January

Still mostly cold but possibly milder later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Gavin D
07 December 2022 15:05:22
A bit of everything for the south at least between the 12th & 21st

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 

Gavin D
07 December 2022 18:31:35
Possibility of snow in southern England Tuesday and Wednesday next week as milder air tries to move in and bumps into the colder air

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/63895092 

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