Sums it up nicely:

Cold weather is expected to continue through at least Sunday and into the beginning of next week, particularly in the north. Wintry showers will mainly affect coastal regions, with snow most likely over higher ground but perhaps falling to lower levels at times. By contrast, inland areas should see more in the way of fine and dry weather, with widespread frosts locally severe at times. While timing is uncertain for now, areas of cloud, rain and stronger winds are increasingly likely to progress into southwestern areas at times, with potential for significant snowfall along the leading edge of such systems. Temperatures remaining cold to very cold, with a chance of returning closer to normal across the south later into the period.

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Quite a good in-depth look summarising the setup and uncertainty with next weeks LP track:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-v9imFM23A 

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Sums it up nicely:

Cold weather is expected to continue through at least Sunday and into the beginning of next week, particularly in the north. Wintry showers will mainly affect coastal regions, with snow most likely over higher ground but perhaps falling to lower levels at times. By contrast, inland areas should see more in the way of fine and dry weather, with widespread frosts locally severe at times. While timing is uncertain for now, areas of cloud, rain and stronger winds are increasingly likely to progress into southwestern areas at times, with potential for significant snowfall along the leading edge of such systems. Temperatures remaining cold to very cold, with a chance of returning closer to normal across the south later into the period.

Yes it certainly did when it was published, but only 8 hours later it is starting to look out of date. 

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SKL 'Transient snow event for Southern England next week before turning milder'

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SKL 'Transient snow event for Southern England next week before turning milder'

That IMO is a very poor representation of her forecast. People can watch it in full here and make their own judgement.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/63861853 


 

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MetO forecast for Tue 13th had sleety rain (60% chance) for Chichester showing first thing today; now cloudy and fairly cold (4/5C) but dry along with most of the S Coast. Plymouth, though, 7C with 70% chance of rain in the morning.

EDIT 1: The above was at 0917 - now (1147) temps are forecast at about 2C and light snow is back for Tue 13th evening in Chichester.

EDIT 2: As you were, at 1600, forecast is back to dry and 4C

Those of you who got a chance to read my daily review in the MO thread before the thread was deleted, having been contaminated with political overspill, will appreciate my comment there about N models producing 2N forecasts.

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Warning updated and coverage increased.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-07 

Having not experienced a winter in the SW for 30 years, fasinating to see how we do out of this Northerly, reckon we could see a dusting.

Higher hills further North looking like doing well though.

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On BBC News warning that temps could dip to -6 tonight. Advice as to what people should do.This country has gone bananas.

On BBC News warning that temps could dip to -6 tonight. Advice as to what people should do.This country has gone bananas.

That's nearly two degrees colder than it was here this morning.  How will I cope?!!! 😨

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary
A cold December with some snow

Wednesday 7 December to – Sunday 11 December
Cold with wintry outbreaks

Monday 12 December to – Sunday 18 December
Remaining colder than average, risks of snow

Monday 19 December to – Sunday 1 January
Still mostly cold but possibly milder later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

A bit of everything for the south at least between the 12th & 21st

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 

Possibility of snow in southern England Tuesday and Wednesday next week as milder air tries to move in and bumps into the colder air

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/63895092 

Kirsty McCabe from the Royal Meteorological Society on 5Live earlier saying good chance for a white Christmas and good chance for snow in the run up to Christmas as Atlantic systems hit the cold air over the UK. 

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There’s a new video from the MetOffice, issued this morning, on YouTube, presented by Alex Deakin.  Excellent analysis as always, backing up what we are seeing in the models.  Three key messages:

1. Staying cold for the next week
2. With slack low pressure over us and old weather fronts, snow could pop up anywhere over the weekend
3. The models handling of the LP approaching from the SW next week vary but the most likely scenario is that it tracks to the south of us, with just 30% bringing it close enough to produce snow, perhaps rain and milder in the south.  Emphasis very much on the uncertainty at this range


 

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Warnings updated:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-09&id=1bd82414-02b2-4852-ad8c-c50013e2e0f5 

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Review of recent temps vs norm https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-63893192 
 

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BBC Weather for the Week Ahead

• Staying cold
• Further snow showers
• Cold and frosty nights
• Lingering freezing fog
• Hints it could turn a bit milder in the run up to Christmas

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/63923736 

BBC Automated has my area back up to 8c and showers by Fricay 16th so not looking like a long lived cold spell here seeing as it is yet to turn frosty.

Looks like i got that wrong.🤐

A snow yellow warning for us for later tomorrow. We've still got yesterday's snow on the ground which is freezing hard again now

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Looks like i got that wrong.🤐

My phone app was going for 7C by a week on Sunday but that has now revised down to 4C. However all the snow symbols for the coming week have disappeared!

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