Alex Deakin did a very good job, in my opinion, and I learnt something. Sharing here for everyone else that might want a link.
https://youtu.be/TF06lM1mic0
Twickenham
12m ASL
I better get my candles, sledge and shovels
2” per hour is very specific
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotland-faces-two-inches-snow-29013525.amp
What is this ‘snow bomb’ they talk of?I better get my candles, sledge and shovels2” per hour is very specific https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotland-faces-two-inches-snow-29013525.amp
What is this ‘snow bomb’ they talk of?
They were using a chart at +342 hr from yesterday’s GFS 00z op run and basing a news story on it. Talk about desperation!
Current conditions (personal WS)
Drier late January. Turning wetter in February
Saturday 21 January to – Sunday 29 January
Turning milder and wetter. Drier, chiller later
Monday 30 January to – Sunday 5 February
A lot of dry weather but wetter later
Monday 6 February to – Sunday 19 February
Unsettled. Colder risks late month
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook
Because snow of any kind is rare in these parts it was notable even if minimal in quantity. It was heavy for a time too (twenty minutes).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-dorset-64318059
It's rare to see snow on Golden Cap as well.
So that's two (minimal depth) snowfalls this winter but what is surprising is how long each one hung around. I think there must have been more frosts this winter too than for many winters past. Certainly made the daffs hold back as they are not even in bud yet..
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
If you want to know more about the Stratospheric developments he covers this at 24:45 so skip until then.
The effects of the Stratospheric warming NOT Sudden Stratospheric warming but significant warming and decrease in speeds of zonal winds at 10hpa over the N. Pole won't have an impact on our weather until at least middle of February, and that's even if it does!?
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com
I love quirky things like this, that date back centuries.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-64399819
Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
https://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/23277054.new-beast-east-bring-uk-7-inches-snow/#comments-anchor
Brian Gaze from The Weather Outlook told the Express: "Computer models are suggesting that a weakening of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex (SPV) in the coming weeks could lead to an increasing chance of cold weather during February.
FWIW last night, the residue patches of snow melted in my back garden from the recent cold spell.
Changeable, mostly mild but a few chillier periods
Saturday 28 January to – Sunday 5 February
Occasional rain but drier in the south
Monday 6 February to – Sunday 12 February
Unsettled and mild
Monday 13 February to – Sunday 26 February
Drier and chillier for a time but unsettled later
Sunday 5 Feb - Tuesday 14 FebSunday is likely to be a widely fine day, with long sunny spells across all areas, with residual showers in the far north clearing through the morning, and with cloud and light rain in the south also clearing. Cloudier conditions may begin to develop in the far west later. Strong winds in the north at first but easing through the day. Further into the period the conditions are expected to remain settled for many at first, with the most of any wet weather likely in the far northwest. Temperatures most likely around average for most. Later, the most likely scenario is for wetter, windier and milder weather to move in from the west, however there is a small chance of easterly winds developing bringing colder weather and some snow showers.
Sunday is likely to be a widely fine day, with long sunny spells across all areas, with residual showers in the far north clearing through the morning, and with cloud and light rain in the south also clearing. Cloudier conditions may begin to develop in the far west later. Strong winds in the north at first but easing through the day. Further into the period the conditions are expected to remain settled for many at first, with the most of any wet weather likely in the far northwest. Temperatures most likely around average for most. Later, the most likely scenario is for wetter, windier and milder weather to move in from the west, however there is a small chance of easterly winds developing bringing colder weather and some snow showers.
Stav ‘signs of it turning colder from weekend’ ‘Much colder air from the east’
With “temperatures closer to the seasonal normal” and “a return to overnight frosts” too. Exciting times! 😂
Chilly and drier next week, then changeable
Wednesday 1 February to – Sunday 5 February
Changeable and mild, then a drier, colder weekend
Wet at times in the north, drier for the south
Wet and windy at times, mainly north and west
85% chance
15% chance