johncs2016
28 December 2022 15:29:31
Meanwhile, the Met Office have issued a yellow warning for rain for Friday. That warning is due to come into effect just to the west of here, so I am currently outside that warning area here in Hawick.

However, that same weather warning goes on to split Edinburgh into two along a line which runs through the city centre.

This weather warning will only be in force to the west of that line but this means that when I return home to NW Edinburgh on Friday, I will be heading into that warning area and other parts of Edinburgh such as Wester Hailes and possibly where Jerry is next to Blackford Hill are also in that warning area.

Yet parts of Edinburgh to the east of that line such as Newhaven, Leith, Portobello, Niddrie and Craigmillar are all just outside that warning area.

As we all know, weather warnings are not exactly uncommon but this is probably only the first time that I can remember a weather warning splitting a small city like Edinburgh in that fashion.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Gavin D
28 December 2022 16:03:50
Met office update getting worse if you're hoping for a cold January

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 
Gavin D
28 December 2022 17:09:40
BBC Weather for the Week Ahead

Rest of 2022
  • Spells of heavy rain
  • Windy
  • Some snow on northern hills


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/64095896 
Gavin D
30 December 2022 16:04:47
Met office continuing to favour a mild January for most

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 December 2022 07:46:45
A "big January freeze" is headed for the UK as winter storms and freezing arctic weather could "bring weather chaos" for the new year, according to the Daily Star. Suggesting readers should "get those thermals at the ready", the paper says the likely icy conditions have come "courtesy of the US bomb cyclone" storm, which caused havoc in the US and Canada last week.
[BBC review of front pages]

You read it here first - that'll give you more time to forget it!
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Gavin D
31 December 2022 11:38:12
BBC Monthly Outlook

Mostly mild and unsettled until later January

Saturday 31 December to – Sunday 8 January
Relatively mild and periodically wet and windy

Monday 9 January to – Sunday 15 January
Unsettled, although drier in the south and east

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 29 January
Possibly turning colder later in January

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
fairweather
31 December 2022 15:45:51
Silly season started in the Express. Apparently forecasters are predicting the heaviest snow for 12 years in early January and the obligatory viscious American spell is moving across the Atlantic to here. Usual cobblers.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Gavin D
01 January 2023 17:10:53
BBC Weather for the Week Ahead
  • Mostly mild
  • Rain at times
  • Drier, chillier interludes


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/64140915 
dagspot
01 January 2023 17:30:05
Originally Posted by: fairweather 

Silly season started in the Express. Apparently forecasters are predicting the heaviest snow for 12 years in early January and the obligatory viscious American spell is moving across the Atlantic to here. Usual cobblers.


Wait, what.. I took it as gospel and got my useless plastic sledge and shovel
Neilston 600ft ASL
Gavin D
02 January 2023 16:03:20
No sign of anything overly cold for the foreseeable

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk 
Gavin D
03 January 2023 16:43:03
BBC Weather for the Week Ahead

Next few days
  • Saying mild
  • Wet and windy at times


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/64155763 
Gavin D
03 January 2023 21:48:07
European weather: Winter heat records smashed all over continent

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64158283 
Gavin D
04 January 2023 19:08:41
Met Office 10 day trend

Rest of January
  • Strong stratospheric polar vortex
  • Westerlies more likely




tallyho_83
05 January 2023 01:09:40
BBC Monthly Outlook:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
05 January 2023 02:20:14
Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Met Office 10 day trend

Rest of January

  • Strong stratospheric polar vortex
  • Westerlies more likely






Explained very well - no sign of an SSW but definitely a sign of a SW or Stratospheric warming as seen in recent GFS runs at 10hpa starting over Siberia and pushing into the N. Pole and this could displace the PV at the very least and thus weaken the zonal winds and help promote northern blocking as well as the constant signal for this strong Siberian high which is present and there could be an SSW later down the line also Aiden mentioned about the MJO which I don't know much about however this gives us some hope!?
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
05 January 2023 09:17:14
2022 average annual temperature tops 10c for the first time on record

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-average-annual-temperature-was-10c-or-more-for-first-time-in-2022-met-office-says-12780281 
Gavin D
06 January 2023 17:01:56
BBC Monthly Outlook

Mostly mild and unsettled until later January

Wednesday 4 January to – Sunday 8 January
Occasionally wet and windy but relatively mild

Monday 9 January to – Sunday 15 January
Unsettled and chillier, especially in the north

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 29 January
Possibly turning colder later in January

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
dagspot
06 January 2023 17:28:54
you could probably copy and paste any recent January and would be same.  Lots of eggs in one basket  - the ‘possibly colder’ will disappear in a few weeks. 
Neilston 600ft ASL
tallyho_83
06 January 2023 19:09:12
Originally Posted by: dagspot 

you could probably copy and paste any recent January and would be same.  Lots of eggs in one basket  - the ‘possibly colder’ will disappear in a few weeks. 



True - Meanwhile the temperature over Siberia is remaining colder than average - well down into the -50C's.

Verkhoyansk: 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/yunb7s4um#?date=2023-01-12 
IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
07 January 2023 11:35:25
BBC Monthly Outlook

Unsettled, then drier and chillier mid-January

Saturday 7 January to – Sunday 15 January
Periodically wet and windy

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 22 January
Unsettled for a while then a drier trend

Monday 23 January to – Sunday 5 February
Changeable and perhaps colder into February

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook  
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