As the days grow shorter and the autumn chill deepens, one of the most common questions we are asked is whether a White Christmas is on the way.
Unfortunately forecasting more than a few days ahead in the UK is prone to error because of the changeable nature of our maritime climate. Therefore making a forecast for Christmas Day with any degree of confidence isn't possible until December is well underway.
By Nandaro (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0], via Wikimedia Commons
Despite that there are some things to go on even though they may be tenuous. Seasonal computer models exist which are designed to give pointers to the weather trends. Other factors, for example the state of El Nino and long term persistence, may have a bearing on the prospects.
On the rest of the site you'll find some of the best and most detailed weather forecast charts and data freely available on the internet. Nonetheless there should be some fun too and with this in mind TWO begins updating its legendary Countdown to Christmas forecast on September 1st every year.
Hopefully you'll enjoy reading the Christmas Countdown, but always remember the above.
We welcome all press enquiries, whether relating to this news feature, or seeking comment on other weather news.
You are subscribed to push notifications.
You are not subscribed.
Click the Notify Me! button and then Allow. You can stop them at any time.
Hot and thundery summer?
Will the relentless rain relent for Easter?
Cheltenham Festival weather
A close to average spring?
Spring 2024 UK weather
Daily weather by email
14 day outlook
Monthly outlook
Seasonal outlook
Christmas weather
See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data