Frozen In Time

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Risk of rain increases later this week

[Updated 07:00 15/07/2019]

Fair weather

The first half of July has been mainly dry in the south but it has been more mixed in the north. Despite the lack of any real heat the Central England Temperature (CET) is running close to 1C above the average. In the south it has been dry, however that could change later this week as disturbances from the Atlantic make inroads....READ IN FULL

Monday starts dry across the UK. Cloud amounts are variable but sunny spells will develop widely through the course of the day. This afternoon it is likely to become cloudier in the west and a few scattered showers develop.  

Temperatures range from 18C (64F) to 22C (72F). See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, temperature, 16:00 BST Mon 15th July

Tonight isolated shower are possible in central and northern region. Elsewhere it remains dry with clear spells.

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Tomorrow showers become more widespread in central and northern regions. A few of them could be heavy in the north east. There will be a lot of dry and sunny periods too, with the highest temperatures in the south where 26C (78F) could be reached.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 16th July

Rain possible in all regions

During Wednesday a band of heavy rain moves into northern and western parts of the UK. Ahead of it a few showers may break out but central and south eastern England should have a fine day.

The rain pushes southeastwards overnight and through Thursday morning. Brighter conditions return to most of the country, but showers may continue to affect the south eastern corner for much of the day. There could also be further rain in the north west. 

The latest guidance shows an unsettled picture on Friday and Saturday. Wet weather is possible in all parts of the country. By Sunday it could turn drier and warmer again in the south and east. In the north and west it is more likely to remain changeable.

GFS forecast 500hPa heights

GFS 500hPa heights and MSLP, 16:00 BST Sat 20th July

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Temperatures remain close to the average for much of the time. A mix of settled and changeable periods is expected. View latest GEFS.



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