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More heavy rain in parts of the UK

[Updated 07:00 12/06/2019]

Flood sign

There will be yet more heavy rain in parts of the UK today and tomorrow. By the weekend a change is expected to begin taking place, but heavy showers remain a risk. Computer models are currently showing a growing chance of a transition to drier and warmer weather next week....READ IN FULL

Wednesday starts wet in much of northern and western England, as well as Wales. Areas to its north west and south east are drier, although in the far south east there are some hefty showers. Through the day the main area of rain becomes patchier. Sunny spells are likely to develop in the north west and south west. In the south eastern corner outbreaks of rain becomes heavier and they spread northwestwards this afternoon.  

Temperatures range from 10C (50F) in northern Scotland to 18C (64F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Wed 12th June

Tonight persistent rain affects much of central and northern England, and Wales. In southern counties heavy thundery downpours are possible, but some places miss them. Scotland and Northern Ireland should be mainly dry.


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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019


Tomorrow the very unsettled weather continues. Eastern Scotland as well as much of England and Wales have heavy showery spells of rain. They are likely to be thundery at times, but during the second half of the day they probably start to fade away in the west. Western Scotland and Northern Ireland should be drier.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Thu 13th June

Improving next week

Friday brings further heavy showers to the north and west. Southern and south eastern England should be drier and brighter.

The weekend looks mixed. A ridge of high pressure starts trying to build over the south with low pressure becoming centred further north. The chance of drier and brighter conditions increases, particularly in the south. Nonetheless there could be further heavy and thundery showers.

Forecast details for next week are uncertain. However, a trend towards drier and warmer weather is expected.    

GFS forecast 500hPa heights and pressure

GFS 500hPa heights and pressure, 16:00 BST Sun 16th June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Very wet conditions are shown in the southern half of the UK early on. In the longer term it remains changeable with upper air temperatures close to the 30 year average. View latest GEFS.


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