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Monday is off to a dry and chilly start in much of the UK but there are outbreaks of rain in south western England and parts of Northern Ireland. Through the rest of the day wet weather continues in those areas and it may extend into western Wales too. Elsewhere it will be dry with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells.

Temperatures range from 9C (48F) in the north east and wet areas to 15C (59F) in sunnier parts of England. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Mon 15th April

Tonight the rain edges slightly farther eastwards. Central, northern and eastern Britain remain dry. 

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Tomorrow the band of rain pushes into western Scotland, the north west and possibly central southern counties. The east has another dry day but there will be more cloud than today.

GFS, temperatures, 16:00 BST Tue 16th April

Warm as Easter approaches

By Wednesday there could still be some showery rain around but it becomes mostly dry. In sunny spells it will feel warm.

During Thursday, Good Friday and Saturday a lot of fine weather is expected. Temperatures continue rising and Saturday could be the warmest day of the year so far with 24C (75F) not out of the question.

Easter Sunday is looking fine in the southern half of the UK, however in the north there is a risk of it turning cooler and wetter. Forecast confidence for Easter Monday is low and some computer models suggest the risk of showers or longer spells of rain pushing southwards.

In the longer term changeable and cooler weather is expected to become established.

GFS pressure and 850hPa temperatures, 16:00 BST Fri 19th April

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

After a dry and cold start temperatures recover during mid April. The risk of wet weather increases but rain amounts remains below average in much of the UK. View latest GEFS.