Frozen In Time

Archived articles which have appeared on our homepage since May 7th 2014.

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High pressure rules the roost

[Updated 07:00 12/02/2019]

Daffodils in bloom

High pressure centred over the continent leads to a lot of dry weather during the rest of the week. Valentine's Day often coincides with one of the coldest periods of the winter but this year it should feel quite springlike. In the north west of the UK it remains more changeable as Atlantic disturbances roll in....READ IN FULL

Tuesday starts with patchy outbreaks of rain in the north. Southern and central regions are dry and there is a frost in places. This morning the band of rain in the north steadily spreads southwards but it becomes lighter. A few bursts remain this afternoon in Wales and north western England. Areas to the south and east stay dry but cloud amounts increase. In central and northern Scotland the opposite happens and sunny spells develop later.

After the chilly start it becomes quite mild. Temperatures in much of the country range from 10C (50F) to 12C (54F) this afternoon. See the rain and precipitation type radar for the latest view.

GFS forecast chart 1

GFS, temperatures, 15:00 GMT Tues 12th February

Tonight another band of rain moves northeastwards over Northern Ireland and into western Scotland. Elsewhere it will be dry but cloud prevents a frost forming.


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Tomorrow morning wet and windy weather in Scotland clears. A lot of cloud remains in the north west and it could be thick enough to produce some drizzle. Elsewhere another dry and quite mild day is in prospect and southern counties have a reasonable amount of sunshine.

Arpege chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, cloud cover, 15:00 GMT Wed 13th February

An early taste of spring

The mild conditions continue on Valentine's Day. The best of the sunshine is likely to be in southern and central areas where it could feel quite springlike during the afternoon. Thicker cloud in the north may bring some drizzle.

Through Friday and Saturday there will be a lot of dry weather. Rain probably stays confined to the north west where Atlantic disturbances continue to brush past. A long fetch south or southwesterly flow keeps it mild for mid February.

During Sunday and Monday a band of rain probably pushes southeastwards across all regions. Cooler air follows it so temperatures should fall back towards the average for a time early next week.    

From Brian Gaze, TWO founder
Since establishing TheWeatherOutlook over 15 years ago the site has grown enormously and running costs have risen. I intend to continue expanding TWO and keeping it free if possible. If you find it useful and would like to contribute to its development please consider making a donation.

GFS forecast pressure and 500hPa heights

GFS pressure and 500hPa heights, 15:00 GMT Sun 17th February

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Upper air temperatures climb well above the 30 year average early on. Later on they dip a little. A good deal of dry weather is shown, especially in the south. View latest GEFS.



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