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Thursday is of to a wet and stormy start in much of the north and west with wind gusts of 50 - 70mph leading to disruption. Southern and eastern areas are blustery but mostly dry, and sunny spells will develop this morning. In the north and west  heavy showers continue but in the afternoon they become lighter. Winds gradually ease as Storm Hector pulls away and by the early evening the strongest gusts become confined to northern Scotland.

Temperatures range from 11C (52F) in the north to 21C (70F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Meteo France Arpege, forecast wind gusts, 12:00 BST Thu 14th June

Summer weather outlook

Seasonal forecast for June, July and August

Summer forecast overview

Tonight showers persist in the north and west. Elsewhere it stays mostly dry and clear periods form.

Tomorrow brings a mix of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be most frequent and heavy in the north with much of the south missing them. Temperatures will be up on today's and in the south it will feel pleasantly warm.

Mixed weekend

The changeable theme continues this weekend. On Saturday an area of low pressure pushes eastwards across the UK bringing showery spells of rain and cool conditions. Winds strengthen again, especially in southern and central regions.

GFS, forecast pressure and precipitation, 16:00 BST Sat 16th June

On Sunday most of the showers will be in northern regions. During the second half of the day thicker cloud pushes into the west and in the north west more persistent outbreaks of rain are possible. The south and east have a mostly dry and bright day.

Return of the westerlies?

Next week the changeable pattern continues. All of the UK could see wet spells, however drier and warmer days are likely, especially in the south. At this time year the terms "European Monsoon" and "return of the westerlies" are used to describe a transition back to typical British summer weather. For more information see our article, European Monsoon - Change on the way.

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Forecast tools

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1981 - 2010 daily temperature charts

Temperature anomalies

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Rain and precipitation type radar

Meteo France Arpege forecast charts

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast charts

16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

Changeable weather is favoured. The coolest and wettest spells are expected to be in the north. View latest GEFS.