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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. There will be a mix of dry intervals and spells of rain.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures is set to develop later on, around Monday 22nd June, and the overall trend is for temperatures to fall both day and night through the period, and conditions may turn more unsettled as the period progresses.
Warm or very warm conditions are expected, with daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s. Peak warmth looks set to develop on Saturday 20 June, with highs around 27°C. The chilliest spell comes on Thursday 11 June, with minimums near 3°C. There is a notable spread between the highest and lowest temperatures, so conditions will vary considerably.
Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 81mm over the period. The wettest conditions are probable on on Thursday 25 June.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
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Assess the chance of frost, strong winds, heavy rain, and snow based on the data utilised in this forecast.
Temperatures between 4°C and 0°C indicate a ground frost may be possible and below O°C an air frost.
Wind gusts of 45mph or over.
Rainfall amounts of greater than 3mm.
Snowfall is displayed regardless of the rate.
Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Forecast charts using data from the UK Met Office MOGREPS-G ensemble model.
Information about MOGREPS-G.
Forecast charts using data from the NCEP GEFS ensemble model.