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An area of high pressure looks set to dominate, favouring settled weather. A balance of wet and dry days looks likely.
The period begins changeable and milder, turning settled around Wednesday 7 October.
A sharp change in overnight temperatures is predicted around Monday 5 October.
Highs will often stay in the 10–15°C bracket during the period. The relative high point comes on Monday 5 October, with temperatures around 17°C. Later in the period there are signs of lows near 1°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 46mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 25mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.