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A mixed pressure pattern is likely, leading to changeable weather. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Thursday 8 October.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. Temperatures will peak on Monday 5 October, reaching 15°C. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures is forecast around Tuesday 6 October. Temperatures will be at their lowest on Wednesday 7 October, dipping to 3°C, which is very chilly for early October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 47mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 54mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.