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A mixed pressure pattern may well develop, leading to changeable weather. Rain will feature on several days, interspersed with drier spells.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures is on course later on, around Saturday 22nd August, and the overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Warm or very warm conditions are expected, with daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 20s. Sunday 16 August looks like the warmest day, with temperatures up to 30°C. The coolest night is set to develop on Sunday 23 August, with lows around 8°C. There is a notable spread between the highest and lowest temperatures, so conditions will vary considerably.
Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 94mm over the period. The wettest conditions are forecast on on Friday 21 August.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
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Assess the chance of frost, strong winds, heavy rain, and snow based on the data utilised in this forecast.
Temperatures between 4°C and 0°C indicate a ground frost may be possible and below O°C an air frost.
Wind gusts of 45mph or over.
Rainfall amounts of greater than 3mm.
Snowfall is displayed regardless of the rate.
Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Forecast charts using data from the UK Met Office MOGREPS-G ensemble model.
Information about MOGREPS-G.
Forecast charts using data from the NCEP GEFS ensemble model.