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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. A largely dry start is expected, with rain becoming more likely later on.
The period begins changeable and milder, turning settled around Friday 16 October, then unsettled and colder during the second week.
Daytime temperatures peak at 18°C on Thursday 15 October, then look set to ease back into the low teens later on, well below average for October. The coldest nights look to come later in the period, potentially near 2°C, subject to change. If so, sheltered and rural areas could see patchy frost on clearer nights.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 46mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 30mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.