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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. A largely dry start is expected, with rain becoming more likely later on.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Thursday 8 October.
Daytime highs in the mid teens at first, below average for October, look set to ease back into the low teens later on, well below average. Temperatures peak on Sunday 4 October at 16°C, before a sharp drop in daytime temperatures around Saturday 10 October brings fresher conditions. There are hints of colder nights later on, with minimums possibly around 0°C. With temperatures anticipated to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts are favoured, particularly during any clear spells.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 46mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 31mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.