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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Much of the period looks relatively dry.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures is set to develop later on, around Sunday 16th August, and the overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Very hot conditions are probable on at times, with highs reaching into the mid 30s. Peak heat is expected on Thursday 13 August, with highs around 38°C. Overnight temperatures will dip lowest on Tuesday 18 August, falling to 9°C. There is a notable spread between the highest and lowest temperatures, so conditions will vary considerably.
Light to moderate rainfall is signalled, totalling around 12mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
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Assess the chance of frost, strong winds, heavy rain, and snow based on the data utilised in this forecast.
Temperatures between 4°C and 0°C indicate a ground frost may be possible and below O°C an air frost.
Wind gusts of 45mph or over.
Rainfall amounts of greater than 3mm.
Snowfall is displayed regardless of the rate.
Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Forecast charts using data from the UK Met Office MOGREPS-G ensemble model.
Information about MOGREPS-G.
Forecast charts using data from the NCEP GEFS ensemble model.