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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Thursday 8 October.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures is predicted around Saturday 10 October.
Temperatures will peak in the low-to-mid teens. The mildest conditions are predicted on Monday 5 October, with highs near 18°C. Later in the period there are signs of lows near 1°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
A blustery spell is forecast around Saturday 10 October, bringing gusts of 46mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 36mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.