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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures is expected later on, around Thursday 20th August, and the overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period, and conditions may turn more unsettled as the period progresses.
Hot conditions are forecast on at times, with highs reaching into the 30s. Peak heat is set to develop on Thursday 13 August, with highs around 32°C. Nights stay warm, though Monday 24 August will be slightly fresher at 10°C. There is a notable spread between the highest and lowest temperatures, so conditions will vary considerably.
Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 70mm over the period. The wettest conditions are expected on Sunday 16 August.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
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Assess the chance of frost, strong winds, heavy rain, and snow based on the data utilised in this forecast.
Temperatures between 4°C and 0°C indicate a ground frost may be possible and below O°C an air frost.
Wind gusts of 45mph or over.
Rainfall amounts of greater than 3mm.
Snowfall is displayed regardless of the rate.
Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Forecast charts using data from the UK Met Office MOGREPS-G ensemble model.
Information about MOGREPS-G.
Forecast charts using data from the NCEP GEFS ensemble model.