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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. A number of days will see rainfall but there will be dry periods too.
The period begins settled, turning changeable during the second week.
The overall trend is for temperatures to fall both day and night through the period.
Unusually chilly weather for October is forecast, with daytime highs typically only in the upper single figures. Highs peak at only around 13°C on Monday 5 October, which is chilly for early October. Overnight frosts are predicted around Thursday 8 October, with temperatures dipping to 0°C.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 47mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 41mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.