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Conditions appear variable for most of the period. A largely dry start is expected, with rain becoming more likely later on.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Saturday 10 October.
The overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. Temperatures will peak on Sunday 4 October, reaching 15°C. The chilliest spell comes on Wednesday 7 October, with minimums near 2°C, which is very chilly for early October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 45mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 35mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.