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Conditions appear variable for most of the period. A number of days will see rainfall but there will be dry periods too.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled and colder around Friday 9 October, then settled and milder during the second week.
Daytime highs in the low teens at first, below average for October, look set to ease back into the mid single figures later on, well below average. Later in the period there are signs of highs near 18°C, though confidence at that range is low. A sharp drop in daytime temperatures is forecast towards the end of the period. There are hints of colder nights later on, with minimums possibly around 0°C. With temperatures anticipated to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts are favoured, particularly during any clear spells.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 41mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 38mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.