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High pressure looks set to stay close by, though not always firmly enough to keep weather fronts away. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Saturday 10 October, then unsettled during the second week.
The overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Unusually chilly weather for October looks likely, with daytime highs typically only in the upper single figures. Highs peak at only around 13°C on Sunday 4 October, which is chilly for early October. The coldest nights look to come later in the period, potentially near -1°C, subject to change. With temperatures expected to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts seem likely, particularly during any clear spells.
A blustery spell is expected around Saturday 10 October, bringing gusts of 40mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 30mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.