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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
The period begins unsettled, turning changeable during the second week.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. The warmest weather looks to come later in the period, potentially around 16°C, subject to considerable change. Overnight temperatures will dip lowest on Thursday 8 October, falling to 6°C.
Gusty conditions are predicted around Monday 5 October, with winds reaching 50mph. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 95mm over the period. The wettest conditions are expected on Friday 9 October.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.