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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Dry conditions should prevail for the majority of days.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Saturday 10 October.
A sharp change in daytime temperatures looks likely during the second week.
Temperatures will peak in the low-to-mid teens. The warmest weather looks to come later in the period, potentially around 16°C, subject to considerable change. Later in the period there are signs of lows near -2°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. Day-to-day temperatures vary considerably through the period, with a marked difference between the mildest and coldest days. With temperatures predicted to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts are likely, particularly during any clear spells.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 49mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Light to moderate rainfall is signalled, totalling around 13mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.