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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
Daytime highs in the upper teens at first, above average for October, look set to ease back into the mid teens later on, closer to average. Sunday 4 October looks like the warmest day, with highs of 22°C, which is very warm for early October. A sharp rise in overnight temperatures looks likely around Friday 9 October. Thursday 8 October sees the lowest temperatures, though remaining above 5°C, which is chilly for early October.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 47mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 26mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.