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A mixed pressure pattern is likely, leading to changeable weather. Some rain is anticipated, but dry spells will also feature.
The period begins changeable, turning settled around Sunday 11 October.
The overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Temperatures look close to average for October, with daytime highs typically in the mid teens. Temperatures will be at their highest on Monday 5 October, reaching 20°C, which is warm for early October. Later in the period there are signs of lows near 1°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 40mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 38mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.