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High pressure looks set to stay close by, though not always firmly enough to keep weather fronts away. There will be a mix of dry intervals and spells of rain.
The period begins changeable, turning settled during the second week.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for October, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. Later in the period there are signs of highs near 18°C, though confidence at that range is low. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures looks likely around Wednesday 7 October. Later in the period there are signs of lows near -2°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. With temperatures predicted to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts are likely, particularly during any clear spells.
A blustery spell is forecast around Friday 9 October, bringing gusts of 46mph. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 47mm over the period. The wettest conditions are anticipated on Friday 9 October. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.