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A mixed pressure pattern is likely, leading to changeable weather. Dry conditions should prevail for the majority of days.
The period begins settled, turning changeable and colder around Thursday 8 October, then settled during the second week.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for October, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. There are hints of temperatures reaching around 17°C later on, but the detail that far ahead is uncertain. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures is anticipated around Tuesday 6 October. Temperatures will be at their lowest on Thursday 8 October, dipping to 3°C, which is very chilly for early October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
A blustery spell is forecast around Saturday 10 October, bringing gusts of 46mph. Light to moderate rainfall is signalled, totalling around 14mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.