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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
The period begins changeable, turning unsettled around Friday 9 October, then settled and milder during the second week.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. There are hints of temperatures reaching around 17°C later on, but the detail that far ahead is uncertain. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures is predicted during the second week. The coldest nights look to come later in the period, potentially near -1°C, subject to change. With temperatures expected to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts seem likely, particularly during any clear spells.
Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 69mm over the period. The wettest conditions are predicted on Friday 9 October. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.