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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Rain is expected on most days throughout the period.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled during the second week.
The overall trend is for daytime temperatures to fall through the period.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. The relative high point comes on Monday 5 October, with temperatures around 14°C. Later in the period there are signs of lows near 1°C, though that far ahead the timing is uncertain. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 43mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 113mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.